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Eredivisie

Referee: Pol van Boekel

PSV Eindhoven

U S S S T

0–4

Full-time

AZ Alkmaar

S S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven AZ Alkmaar

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,8

3,3

Scored

2,8

2,3

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,8

+1,3

This season — Eredivisie · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 65%

70%

60%

Points per game

2,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

70%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

60%

40%

Average goals

3,5

2,9

Scored

2,6

2,1

Conceded

0,9

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,7

+1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

34% Possession 66%

6 Shots 16

0 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 0

1 Corners 3

2 Offside 0

9 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match PSV Eindhoven 2. · AZ Alkmaar 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	10	8	2	0	+24	26
2	PSV Eindhoven	10	7	2	1	+17	23
3	Vitesse	11	7	2	2	+7	23
4	AZ Alkmaar	10	6	2	2	+13	20
5	Willem II	11	6	1	4	-1	19
6	Heracles	11	5	3	3	+3	18
7	Utrecht	10	5	2	3	+7	17
8	Heerenveen	11	4	5	2	+5	17
9	Twente	11	4	3	4	+1	15
10	Sparta Rotterdam	10	4	3	3	+0	15
11	Feyenoord	10	3	5	2	+1	14
12	Groningen	11	4	2	5	+0	14
13	Zwolle	11	3	1	7	-10	10
14	FC Emmen	11	3	1	7	-10	10
15	Den Haag	11	3	0	8	-8	9
16	For Sittard	11	2	3	6	-9	9
17	VVV Venlo	11	3	0	8	-17	9
18	Waalwijk	11	0	1	10	-23	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	5	4	1	0	+12	13
2	Vitesse	6	4	1	1	+5	13
3	Ajax	4	4	0	0	+15	12
4	Utrecht	5	4	0	1	+8	12
5	AZ Alkmaar	5	3	1	1	+8	10
6	FC Emmen	6	3	1	2	+3	10
7	Heracles	6	3	1	2	+3	10
8	Willem II	6	3	1	2	+0	10
9	Sparta Rotterdam	4	3	0	1	+5	9
10	Groningen	5	3	0	2	+4	9
11	Feyenoord	6	2	3	1	+2	9
12	Twente	6	2	2	2	+3	8
13	For Sittard	6	2	2	2	+3	8
14	Heerenveen	6	1	5	0	+1	8
15	Zwolle	5	2	1	2	+0	7
16	VVV Venlo	5	2	0	3	-7	6
17	Den Haag	5	1	0	4	-5	3
18	Waalwijk	5	0	0	5	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	6	4	2	0	+9	14
2	PSV Eindhoven	5	3	1	1	+5	10
3	AZ Alkmaar	5	3	1	1	+5	10
4	Vitesse	5	3	1	1	+2	10
5	Heerenveen	5	3	0	2	+4	9
6	Willem II	5	3	0	2	-1	9
7	Heracles	5	2	2	1	+0	8
8	Twente	5	2	1	2	-2	7
9	Den Haag	6	2	0	4	-3	6
10	Sparta Rotterdam	6	1	3	2	-5	6
11	Utrecht	5	1	2	2	-1	5
12	Feyenoord	4	1	2	1	-1	5
13	Groningen	6	1	2	3	-4	5
14	VVV Venlo	6	1	0	5	-10	3
15	Zwolle	6	1	0	5	-10	3
16	For Sittard	5	0	1	4	-12	1
17	Waalwijk	6	0	1	5	-14	1
18	FC Emmen	5	0	0	5	-13	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.