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Super League

Referee: A Sidiropoulos

Panathinaikos

T U S T S

1–2

Full-time

Larisa

S S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panathinaikos Larisa

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

2,2

3,0

Scored

0,5

1,8

Conceded

1,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,7

This season — Super League · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 32%

25%

38%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

38%

50%

Both score Ø 44%

38%

50%

Average goals

2,4

2,6

Scored

0,6

1,5

Conceded

1,8

1,1

Goal diff per game

-1,1

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

78% Possession 22%

11 Shots 6

1 Shots on target 2

6 Corners 0

3 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 23

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Panathinaikos 11. · Larisa 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	8	7	1	0	+12	22
2	PAOK	9	6	3	0	+9	21
3	OFI Crete	9	5	2	2	+9	17
4	Xanthi	9	5	0	4	-1	15
5	AEK	7	4	2	1	+4	14
6	Larisa	8	3	3	2	+3	12
7	Volos NFC	9	4	0	5	-7	12
8	Aris	7	2	2	3	+2	8
9	Aris Thessalonikis	7	2	2	3	+2	8
10	Atromitos	7	2	2	3	+0	8
11	Panathinaikos	8	2	2	4	-9	8
12	Asteras Tripolis	7	2	0	5	-4	6
13	Panionios	7	1	1	5	-6	4
14	Lamia	7	0	4	3	-7	4
15	Panetolikos	7	0	2	5	-7	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	OFI Crete	4	4	0	0	+9	12
2	Olympiakos	4	4	0	0	+9	12
3	PAOK	5	3	2	0	+5	11
4	Volos NFC	5	3	0	2	+0	9
5	AEK	4	2	1	1	+2	7
6	Xanthi	4	2	0	2	+1	6
7	Aris	4	1	1	2	+2	4
8	Aris Thessalonikis	4	1	1	2	+2	4
9	Larisa	3	1	1	1	+2	4
10	Atromitos	4	1	1	2	+0	4
11	Lamia	4	0	4	0	+0	4
12	Asteras Tripolis	3	1	0	2	-1	3
13	Panionios	4	1	0	3	-2	3
14	Panetolikos	3	0	1	2	-2	1
15	Panathinaikos	3	0	1	2	-3	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PAOK	4	3	1	0	+4	10
2	Olympiakos	4	3	1	0	+3	10
3	Xanthi	5	3	0	2	-2	9
4	Larisa	5	2	2	1	+1	8
5	AEK	3	2	1	0	+2	7
6	Panathinaikos	5	2	1	2	-6	7
7	OFI Crete	5	1	2	2	+0	5
8	Atromitos	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Aris	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Aris Thessalonikis	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Asteras Tripolis	4	1	0	3	-3	3
12	Volos NFC	4	1	0	3	-7	3
13	Panionios	3	0	1	2	-4	1
14	Panetolikos	4	0	1	3	-5	1
15	Lamia	3	0	0	3	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.