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Championship

Referee: Adam Herczeg

Birmingham

U U T S U

2–2

Full-time

Wolves

U S S S T

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Birmingham Wolves

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,5

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,8

4,0

Scored

1,2

2,7

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Championship · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 38%

25%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 88%

75%

100%

Average goals

2,3

4,8

Scored

1,3

2,8

Conceded

1,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

1,41 xG 1,95

53% Possession 47%

15 Shots 10

5 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 6

8 Corners 4

2 Offside 2

17 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Birmingham 12. · Wolves 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Swansea	5	3	2	0	+6	+1.4	11
2	Middlesbrough	5	3	1	1	+3	+3.4	10
3	QPR	5	3	1	1	+3	+2.0	10
4	Bristol City	5	3	1	1	+2	-4.2	10
5	West Brom	5	3	1	1	+2	-1.9	10
6	Charlton	5	3	1	1	-1	-4.4	10
7	Millwall	5	3	0	2	+2	+2.3	9
8	Southampton	5	2	2	1	+5	+3.1	8
9	West Ham	5	2	2	1	+4	+0.5	8
10	Wolves	4	2	1	1	+3	+3.9	7
11	Wrexham	5	1	3	1	+2	+1.6	6
12	Birmingham	4	1	3	0	+1	+1.2	6
13	Norwich	5	2	0	3	+0	+0.4	6
14	Stoke	5	2	0	3	-1	-1.7	6
15	Portsmouth	5	2	0	3	-1	-0.2	6
16	Sheffield United	5	1	3	1	-1	-0.5	6
17	Blackburn	5	1	2	2	-1	-3.3	5
18	Watford	5	1	2	2	-2	-1.5	5
19	Lincoln	5	1	2	2	-2	+0.4	5
20	Derby	5	1	1	3	-5	-2.6	4
21	Bolton	5	1	1	3	-5	-1.1	4
22	Cardiff	5	0	3	2	-3	+0.8	3
23	Preston	5	1	0	4	-5	+0.8	3
24	Burnley	5	0	2	3	-6	-0.4	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	West Brom	3	2	1	0	+3	+0.4	7
2	Southampton	2	2	0	0	+6	+3.7	6
3	West Ham	3	2	0	1	+4	+2.2	6
4	Millwall	3	2	0	1	+4	+1.7	6
5	Stoke	3	2	0	1	+4	+1.6	6
6	Middlesbrough	2	2	0	0	+3	+2.9	6
7	Charlton	2	2	0	0	+2	-0.6	6
8	Swansea	3	1	2	0	+2	-0.9	5
9	Wolves	2	1	1	0	+3	+3.1	4
10	Watford	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.2	4
11	QPR	3	1	1	1	+0	+1.6	4
12	Sheffield United	3	1	1	1	-1	-0.5	4
13	Norwich	2	1	0	1	+2	+2.0	3
14	Blackburn	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.9	3
15	Bolton	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.5	3
16	Bristol City	2	1	0	1	-1	-3.6	3
17	Portsmouth	3	1	0	2	-2	+0.1	3
18	Preston	3	1	0	2	-3	+0.2	3
19	Birmingham	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.6	2
20	Cardiff	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.4	2
21	Burnley	3	0	2	1	-1	+1.0	2
22	Lincoln	3	0	2	1	-2	+2.6	2
23	Wrexham	2	0	1	1	-1	+1.1	1
24	Derby	2	0	1	1	-3	-2.7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bristol City	3	2	1	0	+3	-0.6	7
2	Swansea	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.3	6
3	QPR	2	2	0	0	+3	+0.3	6
4	Wrexham	3	1	2	0	+3	+0.5	5
5	Birmingham	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.7	4
6	Middlesbrough	3	1	1	1	+0	+0.5	4
7	Charlton	3	1	1	1	-3	-3.8	4
8	Portsmouth	2	1	0	1	+1	-0.3	3
9	Wolves	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.9	3
10	Lincoln	2	1	0	1	+0	-2.2	3
11	West Brom	2	1	0	1	-1	-2.3	3
12	Derby	3	1	0	2	-2	+0.0	3
13	Norwich	3	1	0	2	-2	-1.7	3
14	Millwall	2	1	0	1	-2	+0.6	3
15	West Ham	2	0	2	0	+0	-1.7	2
16	Sheffield United	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.1	2
17	Southampton	3	0	2	1	-1	-0.6	2
18	Blackburn	3	0	2	1	-1	-2.3	2
19	Cardiff	3	0	1	2	-3	+0.4	1
20	Watford	3	0	1	2	-3	-1.3	1
21	Bolton	3	0	1	2	-5	-1.6	1
22	Preston	2	0	0	2	-2	+0.6	0
23	Burnley	2	0	0	2	-5	-1.4	0
24	Stoke	2	0	0	2	-5	-3.2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.