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Süper Lig
Referee: H Meler
Galatasaray
S S T S U
1–2
Full-time
Fenerbahce
S T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Galatasaray Fenerbahce
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,3
This season — Süper Lig · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
58%
58%
Both score Ø 63%
58%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,4
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

58% Possession 42%
14 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 6
6 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 1
2 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 17
5 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Galatasaray 7. · Fenerbahce 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Trabzonspor 12 9 3 0 +13 30
2 Hatayspor 13 8 2 3 +13 26
3 Konyaspor 13 7 5 1 +11 26
4 Alanyaspor 13 7 3 3 +1 24
5 Karagumruk 13 6 4 3 +5 22
6 Buyuksehyr 13 7 0 6 +4 21
7 Galatasaray 12 6 3 3 +3 21
8 Besiktas 13 6 2 5 +4 20
9 Fenerbahce 12 6 2 4 +2 20
10 Ad. Demirspor 13 5 4 4 +2 19
11 Altay 13 5 1 7 -3 16
12 Gaziantep 12 4 3 5 -2 15
13 Kayserispor 12 4 3 5 -3 15
14 Antalyaspor 13 4 3 6 -5 15
15 Sivasspor 13 2 7 4 +1 13
16 Giresunspor 13 3 4 6 -4 13
17 Yeni Malatyaspor 13 4 0 9 -11 12
18 Goztep 12 2 3 7 -7 9
19 Kasimpasa 13 2 3 8 -8 9
20 Rizespor 13 2 1 10 -16 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Galatasaray Fenerbahce
Ömer Bayram 🟨
-5′
-5′
🟨 Attila Szalai
-5′
🟨 İrfan Can Kahveci
1–0 K. Aktürkoğlu
O. Moruțan
16′
24′
🟨 Marcel Tisserand
Berkan Kutlu 🟨
25′
31′
M. Özil 1–1
İ. Kahveci
Marcão 🟨
35′
Fernando Muslera 🟨
35′
35′
🟨 Mert Hakan Yandaş
35′
🟨 Berke Özer
Half-time 1–1
T. Antalyalı 🔁
↦ H. Dervişoğlu
65′
M. Diagne 🔁
↦ O. Moruțan
65′
Victor Nelsson 🟨
66′
71′
🔁 Miguel Crespo
↦ J. Sosa
71′
🔁 B. Osayi-Samuel
↦ İ. Kahveci
82′
🟨 Marcel Tisserand
82′
🟥 Marcel Tisserand
Mostafa Mohamed 🔁
↦ S. Feghouli
83′
Mbaye Diagne ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
86′
91′
🔁 S. Dursun
↦ M. Berisha
91′
🔁 D. Rossi
↦ M. Özil
91′
🔁 S. Aziz
↦ M. Yandaş
94′
Miguel Crespo 1–2
D. Rossi
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Galatasaray

4-3-3
1 F. Muslera G
6 P. van Aanholt D
2 D. Yedlin D
45 Marcão D
25 V. Nelsson D
89 S. Feghouli F
33 A. Cicâldău M
21 O. Moruțan M
7 K. Aktürkoğlu F
22 B. Kutlu M
67 H. Dervişoğlu F
Bench (10)
4 T. Antalyalı
90 M. Diagne
11 Mostafa Mohamed
19 Ö. Bayram
5 A. Öztürk
54 E. Kılınç
8 R. Babel
17 O. Çağlayan
13 İ. Çipe
53 B. Yılmaz

Coach: F. Terim

Fenerbahce

4-2-3-1
35 B. Özer G
37 F. Novák D
32 M. Tisserand D
3 Kim Min-Jae D
10 M. Özil M
5 J. Sosa M
26 M. Zajc M
17 İ. Kahveci M
8 M. Yandaş M
16 F. Kadıoğlu D
11 M. Berisha F
Bench (10)
27 Miguel Crespo
21 B. Osayi-Samuel
19 S. Dursun
9 D. Rossi
4 S. Aziz
14 D. Pelkas
41 Attila Szalai
6 M. Meyer
54 E. Çetin
30 N. Sangaré

Coach: Vítor Pereira

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,15
U
3,34
B ✓
3,36
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,84
U2,5
1,96
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

H Meler · 115 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.