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Süper Lig
Referee: H Meler
Karagumruk
S T S S U
0–1
Full-time
Antalyaspor
T U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Karagumruk Antalyaspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,8
3,5
Scored
2,3
2,0
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,5
This season — Süper Lig · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 33%
34%
31%
Points per game
1,4
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
76%
52%
Both score Ø 64%
76%
52%
Average goals
4,0
3,0
Scored
2,2
1,4
Conceded
1,9
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

69% Possession 31%
5 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 5
0 Offside 3
7 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Karagumruk 9. · Antalyaspor 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Galatasaray 29 22 4 3 +44 70
2 Fenerbahce 29 20 4 5 +36 64
3 Besiktas 30 18 8 4 +29 62
4 Ad. Demirspor 30 16 9 5 +29 57
5 Buyuksehyr 29 14 6 9 +9 48
6 Trabzonspor 29 13 6 10 +4 45
7 Kayserispor 30 14 3 13 -2 45
8 Konyaspor 30 10 12 8 +5 42
9 Karagumruk 29 10 11 8 +9 41
10 Alanyaspor 31 10 8 13 -9 38
11 Sivasspor 30 10 7 13 -1 37
12 Ankaragücü 29 10 4 15 -6 34
13 Antalyaspor 29 9 6 14 -7 33
14 Kasimpasa 30 9 6 15 -14 33
15 İstanbulspor 29 8 5 16 -22 29
16 Giresunspor 29 6 9 14 -24 27
17 Ümraniyespor 31 6 8 17 -14 26
18 Gaziantep 30 6 7 17 -23 25
19 Hatayspor 29 6 5 18 -43 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Karagumruk Antalyaspor
21′
D. Sinik 0–1
V. Sarı
Half-time 0–1
Andrea Bertolacci 🟨
59′
E. Colley 🔁
↦ S. Lobzhanidze
68′
A. Ljajić 🔁
↦ A. Bertolacci
68′
71′
🔁 A. Ndao
↦ D. Sinik
78′
🔁 U. Akyol
↦ E. Rakip
78′
🔁 S. Floranus
↦ C. Sertel
C. Kazim-Richards 🔁
↦ O. Shukurov
81′
S. Feghouli 🔁
↦ F. Borini
81′
84′
🔁 E. Uzunhan
↦ Fredy
84′
🔁 B. Yıldırım
↦ H. Wright
B. Kapacak 🔁
↦ D. Biraschi
89′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Karagumruk

4-3-3
1 B. Şen G
4 D. Biraschi D
99 R. Baniya D
5 I. Drešević D
18 L. Mercan D
29 O. Shukurov M
91 A. Bertolacci M
27 M. Ozdoev M
7 S. Lobzhanidze F
9 M. Diagne F
16 F. Borini F
Bench (10)
19 E. Colley
10 A. Ljajić
13 C. Kazim-Richards
89 S. Feghouli
22 B. Kapacak
11 K. Frei
23 C. Kablan
6 Bruno Rodrigues
54 S. Dursun
77 A. Uğur

Coach: A. Pirlo

Antalyaspor

4-2-3-1
90 Helton Leite G
7 B. Balcı D
89 V. Sarı D
21 Ö. Toprak D
3 C. Sertel D
8 Fernando M
6 E. Rakip M
70 D. Sinik M
16 Fredy M
20 S. Larsson M
9 H. Wright F
Bench (10)
18 A. Ndao
19 U. Akyol
2 S. Floranus
5 E. Uzunhan
17 B. Yıldırım
99 B. Szabó
27 H. Ghacha
26 M. Mampassi
22 S. Nakajima
35 A. Dadakdeniz

Coach: N. Şahin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,41
U
3,62
B ✓
2,67
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,61
U2,5 ✓
2,28
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

H Meler · 115 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.