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Pro League
Referee: N Verboomen
Genk
S T T U S
2–2
Full-time
Antwerp
S S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Antwerp
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,7
This season — Pro League · 35/35 matches
Win Ø 70%
69%
71%
Points per game
2,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
71%
43%
Both score Ø 49%
63%
34%
Average goals
3,4
2,5
Scored
2,4
1,8
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

53% Possession 47%
16 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
9 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
17 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Genk 3. · Antwerp 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 35 25 6 4 +33 81
2 Antwerp 35 25 5 5 +39 80
3 Genk 35 24 7 4 +47 79
4 Gent 36 22 6 8 +44 72
5 Club Brugge 35 18 7 10 +26 61
6 Cercle Brugge 36 16 12 8 +14 60
7 Charleroi 35 16 6 13 +2 54
8 Anderlecht 35 15 7 13 +11 52
9 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 36 14 9 13 +12 51
10 St Truiden 36 13 9 14 -1 48
11 Westerlo 36 12 11 13 +1 47
12 Standard 35 13 7 15 -6 46
13 Mechelen 35 11 7 17 -18 40
14 Kortrijk 36 10 7 19 -22 37
15 Waregem 36 7 10 19 -26 31
16 Eupen 36 8 7 21 -36 31
17 Oostende 36 7 7 22 -40 28
18 Seraing 34 5 5 24 -40 20
19 Seraing United 34 5 5 24 -40 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Genk Antwerp
1–0 T. Arokodare
B. El Khannouss
45′
Half-time 1–0
47′
🟨 Gyrano Kerk
58′
G. Kerk 1–1
65′
🟨 Michel Ange Balikwisha
Joseph Paintsil 🟨
69′
A. Ouattara 🔁
↦ C. Cuesta
71′
71′
🔁 A. Muja
↦ J. Ekkelenkamp
2–1 B. Heynen
M. Trésor
75′
M. Samatta 🔁
↦ T. Arokodare
78′
78′
🔁 A. Yusuf
↦ M. Keita
Y. Sor 🔁
↦ B. El Khannouss
86′
90′
🔁 C. Scott
↦ G. Kerk
94′
T. Alderweireld 2–2
J. Bataille
96′
🟥 Michel Ange Balikwisha
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Genk

4-2-3-1
26 M. Vandevoordt G
23 D. Muñoz D
46 C. Cuesta D
2 M. McKenzie D
5 G. Arteaga D
8 B. Heynen M
17 P. Hrošovský M
28 J. Paintsil M
34 B. El Khannouss M
11 M. Trésor M
99 T. Arokodare F
Bench (7)
4 A. Ouattara
7 M. Samatta
14 Y. Sor
19 A. Ait El Hadj
77 A. Preciado
40 T. Leysen
24 L. Oyen

Coach: W. Vrancken

Antwerp

4-3-3
1 J. Butez G
34 J. Bataille D
23 T. Alderweireld D
51 W. Pacho D
22 G. Ávila D
27 M. Keita M
48 A. Vermeeren M
24 J. Ekkelenkamp M
7 G. Kerk F
18 V. Janssen F
10 M. Balikwisha F
Bench (7)
11 A. Muja
8 A. Yusuf
32 C. Scott
33 Z. Van Den Bosch
50 L. Krasniqi
26 O. De Wolf
38 F. Haroun

Coach: M. van Bommel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,99
U ✓
3,60
B
3,57
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,76
U2,5
2,05
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

N Verboomen · 117 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.