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Süper Lig
Referee: Erkan Ozdamar
Galatasaray
S S S S S
2–1
Full-time
Kasimpasa
T S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Galatasaray Kasimpasa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
2,2
0,8
Conceded
0,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-0,7
This season — Süper Lig · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 48%
65%
30%
Points per game
2,1
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
57%
48%
Both score Ø 43%
43%
43%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
2,0
1,1
Conceded
0,8
1,6
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

51% Possession 49%
15 Shots 8
10 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 8
8 Corners 2
0 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 22
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Galatasaray 2. · Kasimpasa 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fenerbahce 24 16 3 5 +21 51
2 Galatasaray 23 15 3 5 +29 48
3 Besiktas 23 15 3 5 +24 48
4 Trabzonspor 24 13 6 5 +7 45
5 Alanyaspor 24 12 6 6 +17 42
6 Hatayspor 24 11 6 7 +10 39
7 Gaziantep 24 10 8 6 +8 38
8 Karagumruk 24 10 7 7 +6 37
9 Antalyaspor 23 7 10 6 -5 31
10 Yeni Malatyaspor 23 7 8 8 -1 29
11 Sivasspor 23 6 10 7 -3 28
12 Konyaspor 23 7 6 10 +1 27
13 Goztep 23 6 8 9 +2 26
14 Kasimpasa 23 7 5 11 -11 26
15 Rizespor 24 6 8 10 -12 26
16 Kayserispor 24 6 7 11 -11 25
17 Erzurumspor 24 6 7 11 -13 25
18 Buyuksehyr 23 6 6 11 -14 24
19 Genclerbirligi 22 5 5 12 -21 20
20 Ankaragücü 23 5 4 14 -13 19
21 Denizlispor 24 4 6 14 -21 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Galatasaray Kasimpasa
1–0 K. Aktürkoğlu
9′
15′
🟨 Isaac Kiese Thelin
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 K. Varga
↦ G. Koomson
51′
I. Thelin 1–1
H. Hajradinović
71′
🟨 Haris Hajradinović
E. Akbaba 🔁
↦ Gedson Fernandes
71′
H. Onyekuru 🔁
↦ E. Kılınç
71′
R. Donk 🔁
↦ R. Babel
72′
D. Yedlin 🔁
↦ K. Aktürkoğlu
77′
82′
🟨 Kevin Varga
Y. Belhanda 🔁
↦ M. Linnes
82′
85′
🟨 Duško Tošić
2–1 Mostafa Mohamed
89′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Galatasaray

4-1-4-1
1 F. Muslera G
19 Ö. Bayram D
14 M. Linnes D
45 Marcão Teixeira D
27 C. Luyindama D
54 E. Kılınç M
13 O. Etebo M
83 Gedson Fernandes M
18 K. Aktürkoğlu M
8 R. Babel M
31 Mostafa Mohamed F
Bench (10)
20 E. Akbaba
7 H. Onyekuru
15 R. Donk
22 D. Yedlin
10 Y. Belhanda
63 B. Elmaz
99 F. Öztürk
2 Ş. Özbayraklı
4 T. Antalyalı
49 V. Ozornwafor

Coach: F. Terim

Kasimpasa

4-2-3-1
33 E. Taşkıran G
13 D. Tošić D
3 O. Haddadi D
25 T. Břečka D
94 F. Hadërgjonaj D
35 A. Kara M
10 H. Hajradinović M
26 K. Bistrović M
30 A. Hodžić M
92 I. Thelin F
14 G. Koomson M
Bench (10)
21 K. Varga
34 D. Haspolat
7 A. Koç
2 B. Çetin
28 F. Külekçi
18 E. Elmalı
1 R. Köse
80 H. Yeşilyurt
23 M. Yıldırım
6 L. Sadiku

Coach: F. Çapa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,40
U
4,68
B
7,17
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,62
U2,5
2,27
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Erkan Ozdamar · 15 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.