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Süper Lig

Referee: Y Kol

Kasimpasa

S U U T U

2–1

Full-time

Ad. Demirspor

U T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kasimpasa Ad. Demirspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,7

3,3

Scored

1,3

1,8

Conceded

2,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 5/4 matches

Win Ø 35%

20%

50%

Points per game

1,2

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 68%

60%

75%

Both score Ø 78%

80%

75%

Average goals

3,8

3,5

Scored

1,6

2,3

Conceded

2,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,46 xG 1,53

45% Possession 55%

14 Shots 18

6 Shots on target 5

5 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 11

5 Offside 1

20 Free kicks against 6

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 3

The table before the match Kasimpasa 15. · Ad. Demirspor 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	5	4	1	0	+8	+5.9	13
2	Fenerbahce	4	4	0	0	+5	+6.1	12
3	Rizespor	6	3	2	1	+2	+1.6	11
4	Besiktas	5	3	1	1	+1	+3.8	10
5	Trabzonspor	5	3	0	2	+5	-0.5	9
6	Konyaspor	6	2	3	1	+2	-0.5	9
7	Kayserispor	6	2	3	1	+2	-2.2	9
8	Ad. Demirspor	4	2	2	0	+4	+1.9	8
9	Hatayspor	5	1	4	0	+4	+2.8	7
10	Alanyaspor	5	1	4	0	+2	+1.1	7
11	Ankaragücü	6	1	3	2	+0	+0.4	6
12	Antalyaspor	6	1	3	2	+0	-0.0	6
13	Karagumruk	6	1	3	2	+0	-5.8	6
14	Sivasspor	6	1	3	2	-2	-1.4	6
15	Kasimpasa	5	1	3	1	-3	+1.3	6
16	Pendikspor	6	0	4	2	-7	-3.9	4
17	Buyuksehyr	5	1	0	4	-4	+1.0	3
18	Gaziantep	6	1	0	5	-8	-7.0	3
19	İstanbulspor	4	0	2	2	-4	-3.9	2
20	Samsunspor	5	0	1	4	-7	-0.8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Besiktas	3	2	1	0	+3	+3.2	7
2	Kayserispor	3	2	1	0	+3	+0.3	7
3	Galatasaray	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.2	6
4	Ad. Demirspor	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.0	6
5	Trabzonspor	3	2	0	1	+3	+1.9	6
6	Fenerbahce	2	2	0	0	+2	+4.2	6
7	Alanyaspor	3	1	2	0	+2	+1.3	5
8	Antalyaspor	3	1	2	0	+2	+1.0	5
9	Rizespor	3	1	2	0	+1	+1.7	5
10	Konyaspor	3	1	1	1	+1	+0.3	4
11	Kasimpasa	3	1	1	1	-3	+0.6	4
12	Gaziantep	3	1	0	2	-3	-1.5	3
13	Hatayspor	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.5	2
14	Ankaragücü	3	0	2	1	-1	+0.7	2
15	Karagumruk	3	0	2	1	-1	-4.1	2
16	Sivasspor	3	0	2	1	-2	-0.1	2
17	Pendikspor	3	0	2	1	-4	-2.4	2
18	İstanbulspor	2	0	1	1	-2	-3.0	1
19	Samsunspor	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.3	0
20	Buyuksehyr	3	0	0	3	-4	-1.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	3	2	1	0	+4	+3.7	7
2	Fenerbahce	2	2	0	0	+3	+2.0	6
3	Rizespor	3	2	0	1	+1	-0.1	6
4	Hatayspor	3	1	2	0	+4	+3.3	5
5	Konyaspor	3	1	2	0	+1	-0.9	5
6	Ankaragücü	3	1	1	1	+1	-0.3	4
7	Karagumruk	3	1	1	1	+1	-1.6	4
8	Sivasspor	3	1	1	1	+0	-1.3	4
9	Trabzonspor	2	1	0	1	+2	-2.4	3
10	Buyuksehyr	2	1	0	1	+0	+2.6	3
11	Besiktas	2	1	0	1	-2	+0.5	3
12	Ad. Demirspor	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.1	2
13	Kasimpasa	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.7	2
14	Alanyaspor	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.2	2
15	Kayserispor	3	0	2	1	-1	-2.5	2
16	Pendikspor	3	0	2	1	-3	-1.6	2
17	Antalyaspor	3	0	1	2	-2	-1.0	1
18	İstanbulspor	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.9	1
19	Samsunspor	4	0	1	3	-5	+0.5	1
20	Gaziantep	3	0	0	3	-5	-5.4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.