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Süper Lig

Referee: M Kalkavan

Kasimpasa

U T U S S

0–2

Full-time

Fenerbahce

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kasimpasa Fenerbahce

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

33%

100%

Points per game

1,5

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,7

Scored

1,7

3,0

Conceded

2,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+2,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 72%

43%

100%

Points per game

1,7

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

71%

57%

Both score Ø 58%

86%

29%

Average goals

3,9

3,0

Scored

1,9

2,6

Conceded

2,0

0,4

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+2,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

0,19 xG 4,04

38% Possession 62%

5 Shots 22

1 Shots on target 7

2 Blocked shots 3

5 Goalkeeper saves 1

1 Corners 8

0 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Kasimpasa 8. · Fenerbahce 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	8	7	1	0	+12	+11.1	22
2	Fenerbahce	7	7	0	0	+15	+13.0	21
3	Ad. Demirspor	8	5	2	1	+10	+4.1	17
4	Besiktas	8	5	1	2	+3	+5.8	16
5	Hatayspor	8	3	5	0	+7	+2.8	14
6	Rizespor	8	4	2	2	-2	-2.1	14
7	Trabzonspor	8	4	0	4	+4	-0.7	12
8	Kasimpasa	7	3	3	1	-1	+0.2	12
9	Sivasspor	8	2	4	2	-1	+1.0	10
10	Kayserispor	8	2	4	2	-1	-1.9	10
11	Alanyaspor	8	2	4	2	-2	-1.6	10
12	Ankaragücü	8	2	3	3	+2	-2.2	9
13	Antalyaspor	8	2	3	3	-1	-0.1	9
14	Konyaspor	8	2	3	3	-2	-1.7	9
15	Buyuksehyr	8	2	1	5	-6	-3.3	7
16	Karagumruk	8	1	3	4	-2	-5.3	6
17	Gaziantep	8	2	0	6	-9	-6.6	6
18	Pendikspor	8	0	4	4	-9	-5.5	4
19	İstanbulspor	7	0	2	5	-8	-7.6	2
20	Samsunspor	7	0	1	6	-9	+0.5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Ad. Demirspor	5	5	0	0	+11	+4.1	15
2	Fenerbahce	4	4	0	0	+11	+9.6	12
3	Besiktas	4	3	1	0	+5	+4.9	10
4	Galatasaray	3	3	0	0	+5	+5.3	9
5	Trabzonspor	4	3	0	1	+4	+2.1	9
6	Hatayspor	4	2	2	0	+3	+0.5	8
7	Kayserispor	4	2	2	0	+3	+1.1	8
8	Alanyaspor	5	2	2	1	+2	+0.6	8
9	Rizespor	4	2	2	0	+2	+1.5	8
10	Kasimpasa	4	2	1	1	-2	+0.6	7
11	Ankaragücü	4	1	2	1	+2	+1.2	5
12	Antalyaspor	4	1	2	1	+0	-0.0	5
13	Konyaspor	4	1	1	2	-1	-0.1	4
14	Sivasspor	4	0	3	1	-2	+0.8	3
15	Buyuksehyr	4	1	0	3	-2	-3.2	3
16	Gaziantep	3	1	0	2	-3	-1.5	3
17	Karagumruk	4	0	2	2	-2	-3.1	2
18	Pendikspor	4	0	2	2	-5	-3.8	2
19	İstanbulspor	4	0	1	3	-4	-5.1	1
20	Samsunspor	2	0	0	2	-3	-0.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	5	4	1	0	+7	+5.8	13
2	Fenerbahce	3	3	0	0	+4	+3.3	9
3	Sivasspor	4	2	1	1	+1	+0.1	7
4	Hatayspor	4	1	3	0	+4	+2.4	6
5	Besiktas	4	2	0	2	-2	+1.0	6
6	Rizespor	4	2	0	2	-4	-3.6	6
7	Kasimpasa	3	1	2	0	+1	-0.4	5
8	Konyaspor	4	1	2	1	-1	-1.5	5
9	Ankaragücü	4	1	1	2	+0	-3.4	4
10	Karagumruk	4	1	1	2	+0	-2.2	4
11	Antalyaspor	4	1	1	2	-1	-0.0	4
12	Buyuksehyr	4	1	1	2	-4	-0.1	4
13	Trabzonspor	4	1	0	3	+0	-2.8	3
14	Gaziantep	5	1	0	4	-6	-5.1	3
15	Ad. Demirspor	3	0	2	1	-1	-0.0	2
16	Kayserispor	4	0	2	2	-4	-3.0	2
17	Pendikspor	4	0	2	2	-4	-1.7	2
18	Alanyaspor	3	0	2	1	-4	-2.2	2
19	İstanbulspor	3	0	1	2	-4	-2.5	1
20	Samsunspor	5	0	1	4	-6	+0.6	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.