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Süper Lig

Referee: Y Uğurlu

Sivasspor

T T U U S

0–1

Full-time

Kasimpasa

T U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sivasspor Kasimpasa

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,5

4,0

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

1,5

2,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 32%

25%

38%

Points per game

1,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 51%

38%

63%

Both score Ø 75%

75%

Average goals

2,6

3,6

Scored

1,3

1,6

Conceded

1,4

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,96 xG 1,56

60% Possession 40%

17 Shots 17

9 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 4

5 Goalkeeper saves 8

7 Corners 8

4 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 9

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sivasspor 10. · Kasimpasa 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	9	8	1	0	+13	+12.8	25
2	Fenerbahce	8	8	0	0	+17	+16.8	24
3	Ad. Demirspor	8	5	2	1	+10	+4.1	17
4	Besiktas	9	5	1	3	+2	+4.1	16
5	Hatayspor	8	3	5	0	+7	+2.8	14
6	Rizespor	9	4	2	3	-4	-4.2	14
7	Kayserispor	9	3	4	2	+1	+0.3	13
8	Trabzonspor	8	4	0	4	+4	-0.7	12
9	Kasimpasa	8	3	3	2	-3	-3.7	12
10	Sivasspor	8	2	4	2	-1	+1.0	10
11	Alanyaspor	8	2	4	2	-2	-1.6	10
12	Ankaragücü	8	2	3	3	+2	-2.2	9
13	Antalyaspor	9	2	3	4	-2	-0.5	9
14	Konyaspor	9	2	3	4	-3	-2.8	9
15	Gaziantep	9	3	0	6	-8	-6.2	9
16	Buyuksehyr	8	2	1	5	-6	-3.3	7
17	Pendikspor	9	1	4	4	-8	-4.4	7
18	Karagumruk	8	1	3	4	-2	-5.3	6
19	İstanbulspor	7	0	2	5	-8	-7.6	2
20	Samsunspor	7	0	1	6	-9	+0.5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Ad. Demirspor	5	5	0	0	+11	+4.1	15
2	Fenerbahce	4	4	0	0	+11	+9.6	12
3	Galatasaray	4	4	0	0	+6	+7.1	12
4	Kayserispor	5	3	2	0	+5	+3.3	11
5	Besiktas	4	3	1	0	+5	+4.9	10
6	Trabzonspor	4	3	0	1	+4	+2.1	9
7	Hatayspor	4	2	2	0	+3	+0.5	8
8	Alanyaspor	5	2	2	1	+2	+0.6	8
9	Rizespor	4	2	2	0	+2	+1.5	8
10	Kasimpasa	5	2	1	2	-4	-3.3	7
11	Gaziantep	4	2	0	2	-2	-1.1	6
12	Ankaragücü	4	1	2	1	+2	+1.2	5
13	Antalyaspor	4	1	2	1	+0	-0.0	5
14	Konyaspor	5	1	1	3	-2	-1.2	4
15	Sivasspor	4	0	3	1	-2	+0.8	3
16	Buyuksehyr	4	1	0	3	-2	-3.2	3
17	Karagumruk	4	0	2	2	-2	-3.1	2
18	Pendikspor	4	0	2	2	-5	-3.8	2
19	İstanbulspor	4	0	1	3	-4	-5.1	1
20	Samsunspor	2	0	0	2	-3	-0.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	5	4	1	0	+7	+5.8	13
2	Fenerbahce	4	4	0	0	+6	+7.2	12
3	Sivasspor	4	2	1	1	+1	+0.1	7
4	Hatayspor	4	1	3	0	+4	+2.4	6
5	Besiktas	5	2	0	3	-3	-0.8	6
6	Rizespor	5	2	0	3	-6	-5.8	6
7	Kasimpasa	3	1	2	0	+1	-0.4	5
8	Konyaspor	4	1	2	1	-1	-1.5	5
9	Pendikspor	5	1	2	2	-3	-0.6	5
10	Ankaragücü	4	1	1	2	+0	-3.4	4
11	Karagumruk	4	1	1	2	+0	-2.2	4
12	Antalyaspor	5	1	1	3	-2	-0.4	4
13	Buyuksehyr	4	1	1	2	-4	-0.1	4
14	Trabzonspor	4	1	0	3	+0	-2.8	3
15	Gaziantep	5	1	0	4	-6	-5.1	3
16	Ad. Demirspor	3	0	2	1	-1	-0.0	2
17	Kayserispor	4	0	2	2	-4	-3.0	2
18	Alanyaspor	3	0	2	1	-4	-2.2	2
19	İstanbulspor	3	0	1	2	-4	-2.5	1
20	Samsunspor	5	0	1	4	-6	+0.6	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.