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Süper Lig

Referee: B Pakkan

Fenerbahce

S S U S U

3–2

Full-time

Rizespor

T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fenerbahce Rizespor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,3

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,5

2,8

Scored

2,3

1,2

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 58%

75%

40%

Points per game

2,4

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

70%

55%

Both score Ø 53%

55%

50%

Average goals

3,6

2,7

Scored

2,6

1,1

Conceded

1,0

1,6

Goal diff per game

+1,6

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

4,40 xG 0,32

67% Possession 33%

36 Shots 6

10 Shots on target 4

6 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 7

10 Corners 1

2 Offside 0

9 Free kicks against 18

5 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 2

The table before the match Fenerbahce 2. · Rizespor 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	20	17	3	0	+31	+21.9	54
2	Fenerbahce	20	15	3	2	+32	+24.2	48
3	Samsunspor	21	12	4	5	+11	+9.5	40
4	Eyüpspor	21	11	6	4	+15	+1.0	39
5	Goztep	21	10	4	7	+13	+14.0	34
6	Buyuksehyr	21	9	5	7	+9	+8.1	32
7	Besiktas	20	8	8	4	+8	+8.2	32
8	Kasimpasa	21	6	10	5	-3	-0.6	28
9	Alanyaspor	21	7	7	7	-3	-3.5	28
10	Rizespor	20	8	3	9	-9	+8.2	27
11	Trabzonspor	20	6	8	6	+10	-1.6	26
12	Gaziantep	20	7	5	8	-2	-5.1	26
13	Antalyaspor	21	7	4	10	-16	-13.9	25
14	Konyaspor	21	6	6	9	-6	-7.5	24
15	Sivasspor	21	6	5	10	-9	-15.4	23
16	Kayserispor	20	3	8	9	-20	-6.2	17
17	Bodrumspor	21	4	4	13	-14	-5.2	16
18	Hatayspor	21	1	7	13	-17	-16.1	10
19	Ad. Demirspor	21	2	2	17	-30	-20.2	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	11	9	2	0	+14	+16.0	29
2	Goztep	11	9	1	1	+19	+13.5	28
3	Fenerbahce	9	8	0	1	+14	+10.8	24
4	Eyüpspor	10	7	2	1	+13	+4.4	23
5	Buyuksehyr	11	6	4	1	+16	+9.0	22
6	Trabzonspor	10	6	3	1	+16	+4.6	21
7	Gaziantep	10	6	3	1	+9	+1.8	21
8	Samsunspor	10	6	2	2	+8	+8.7	20
9	Besiktas	10	6	2	2	+5	+7.5	20
10	Alanyaspor	10	5	3	2	+5	+3.8	18
11	Antalyaspor	10	5	2	3	-2	-4.5	17
12	Sivasspor	11	4	4	3	+3	-5.3	16
13	Rizespor	10	4	3	3	+0	+8.5	15
14	Konyaspor	10	3	5	2	+2	+1.9	14
15	Bodrumspor	10	3	2	5	+1	-0.6	11
16	Kasimpasa	10	2	4	4	-4	+3.2	10
17	Hatayspor	12	1	5	6	-7	-7.0	8
18	Kayserispor	10	1	4	5	-11	-2.2	7
19	Ad. Demirspor	11	1	0	10	-19	-8.9	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	9	8	1	0	+17	+5.9	25
2	Fenerbahce	11	7	3	1	+18	+13.4	24
3	Samsunspor	11	6	2	3	+3	+0.8	20
4	Kasimpasa	11	4	6	1	+1	-3.9	18
5	Eyüpspor	11	4	4	3	+2	-3.4	16
6	Besiktas	10	2	6	2	+3	+0.7	12
7	Rizespor	10	4	0	6	-9	-0.2	12
8	Buyuksehyr	10	3	1	6	-7	-0.9	10
9	Konyaspor	11	3	1	7	-8	-9.5	10
10	Alanyaspor	11	2	4	5	-8	-7.3	10
11	Kayserispor	10	2	4	4	-9	-4.0	10
12	Antalyaspor	11	2	2	7	-14	-9.4	8
13	Sivasspor	10	2	1	7	-12	-10.1	7
14	Goztep	10	1	3	6	-6	+0.6	6
15	Trabzonspor	10	0	5	5	-6	-6.1	5
16	Gaziantep	10	1	2	7	-11	-7.0	5
17	Ad. Demirspor	10	1	2	7	-11	-11.2	5
18	Bodrumspor	11	1	2	8	-15	-4.5	5
19	Hatayspor	9	0	2	7	-10	-9.1	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.