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Süper Lig

Referee: Y Kol

Fenerbahce

S U S T S

1–0

Full-time

Besiktas

S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fenerbahce Besiktas

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,8

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

3,5

2,7

Scored

2,0

Conceded

1,5

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 60%

63%

56%

Points per game

2,2

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

59%

Both score Ø 63%

67%

59%

Average goals

3,3

3,0

Scored

2,3

1,8

Conceded

1,0

1,1

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,93 xG 0,95

56% Possession 44%

13 Shots 14

6 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 10

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

10 Corners 5

2 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 19

3 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fenerbahce 3. · Besiktas 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	27	20	4	3	+43	+29.6	64
2	Trabzonspor	28	19	6	3	+25	+7.6	63
3	Fenerbahce	27	17	9	1	+33	+27.2	60
4	Besiktas	27	15	7	5	+18	+23.8	52
5	Goztep	27	12	10	5	+12	+6.3	46
6	Buyuksehyr	27	12	7	8	+14	+3.5	43
7	Samsunspor	27	8	12	7	-2	+7.2	36
8	Gaziantep	28	8	10	10	-10	-3.5	34
9	Kocaelispor	27	9	6	12	-9	-2.4	33
10	Alanyaspor	28	6	14	8	+1	-7.9	32
11	Konyaspor	28	7	10	11	-8	-1.4	31
12	Rizespor	27	7	9	11	-5	+0.1	30
13	Antalyaspor	28	7	7	14	-15	-18.7	28
14	Kasimpasa	28	6	9	13	-13	-11.4	27
15	Genclerbirligi	28	6	7	15	-11	-15.3	25
16	Kayserispor	28	4	11	13	-29	-12.0	23
17	Eyüpspor	28	5	7	16	-22	-18.6	22
18	Karagumruk	28	5	5	18	-22	-14.1	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	14	11	3	0	+27	+20.2	36
2	Fenerbahce	13	9	4	0	+18	+19.7	31
3	Trabzonspor	14	9	4	1	+14	+7.4	31
4	Besiktas	14	8	3	3	+9	+13.7	27
5	Goztep	13	6	6	1	+9	+5.1	24
6	Buyuksehyr	14	5	6	3	+6	-0.6	21
7	Kocaelispor	14	6	3	5	+3	+5.5	21
8	Alanyaspor	14	5	4	5	+5	-1.3	19
9	Genclerbirligi	14	5	4	5	-1	+0.2	19
10	Samsunspor	14	4	7	3	-2	+6.5	19
11	Konyaspor	14	4	6	4	+1	+4.8	18
12	Rizespor	13	5	2	6	-4	+5.0	17
13	Gaziantep	14	4	5	5	-5	+3.1	17
14	Karagumruk	14	4	3	7	-6	-1.8	15
15	Antalyaspor	14	4	3	7	-10	-6.0	15
16	Kasimpasa	14	3	5	6	-6	-0.7	14
17	Eyüpspor	14	3	4	7	-8	-5.6	13
18	Kayserispor	13	3	3	7	-16	-1.6	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Trabzonspor	14	10	2	2	+11	+0.1	32
2	Fenerbahce	14	8	5	1	+15	+7.4	29
3	Galatasaray	13	9	1	3	+16	+9.3	28
4	Besiktas	13	7	4	2	+9	+10.1	25
5	Buyuksehyr	13	7	1	5	+8	+4.1	22
6	Goztep	14	6	4	4	+3	+1.3	22
7	Samsunspor	13	4	5	4	+0	+0.8	17
8	Gaziantep	14	4	5	5	-5	-6.6	17
9	Rizespor	14	2	7	5	-1	-4.9	13
10	Alanyaspor	14	1	10	3	-4	-6.5	13
11	Antalyaspor	14	3	4	7	-5	-12.8	13
12	Kasimpasa	14	3	4	7	-7	-10.7	13
13	Konyaspor	14	3	4	7	-9	-6.1	13
14	Kocaelispor	13	3	3	7	-12	-7.8	12
15	Kayserispor	15	1	8	6	-13	-10.5	11
16	Eyüpspor	14	2	3	9	-14	-13.0	9
17	Genclerbirligi	14	1	3	10	-10	-15.5	6
18	Karagumruk	14	1	2	11	-16	-12.3	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.