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Super League

Referee: T Stieler

Olympiakos

U S U S U

0–1

Full-time

AEK

S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Olympiakos AEK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

1,3

3,0

Scored

1,2

2,0

Conceded

0,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 66%

64%

68%

Points per game

2,2

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

39%

Both score Ø 34%

32%

36%

Average goals

2,1

2,5

Scored

1,7

1,8

Conceded

0,4

0,6

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,22 xG 0,32

63% Possession 37%

5 Shots 7

1 Shots on target 1

2 Blocked shots 3

5 Corners 3

4 Offside 4

12 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Olympiakos 3. · AEK 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AEK	28	19	7	2	+33	+9.5	64
2	PAOK	29	18	8	3	+37	+7.2	62
3	Olympiakos	28	18	8	2	+35	+12.0	62
4	Panathinaikos	29	15	9	5	+20	+8.6	54
5	Levadeiakos	30	12	10	8	+14	-7.3	46
6	OFI Crete	29	12	3	14	-6	-8.0	39
7	Volos NFC	29	9	6	14	-14	+3.0	33
8	Atromitos	29	7	10	12	-5	-1.4	31
9	Aris Thessalonikis	27	6	13	8	-7	-3.0	31
10	Aris	27	6	13	8	-7	–	31
11	Panetolikos	29	8	6	15	-13	-2.5	30
12	Kifisia	29	6	10	13	-12	-0.9	28
13	Larisa	29	5	11	13	-19	-6.0	26
14	Panserraikos	29	5	7	17	-38	-6.3	22
15	Asteras Tripolis	29	4	9	16	-18	-5.0	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PAOK	15	12	3	0	+26	+4.8	39
2	AEK	14	12	1	1	+21	+5.9	37
3	Olympiakos	14	10	3	1	+20	+5.0	33
4	Panathinaikos	14	9	4	1	+17	+3.9	31
5	Levadeiakos	16	8	5	3	+17	-3.6	29
6	OFI Crete	14	7	0	7	+6	-3.8	21
7	Volos NFC	15	5	6	4	-3	+4.3	21
8	Kifisia	15	4	4	7	-3	+1.3	16
9	Aris Thessalonikis	13	2	9	2	-1	+2.4	15
10	Aris	13	2	9	2	-1	–	15
11	Larisa	14	3	6	5	-8	+0.2	15
12	Asteras Tripolis	15	3	5	7	-2	-1.6	14
13	Panetolikos	15	4	2	9	-9	+1.5	14
14	Panserraikos	14	3	3	8	-16	-4.0	12
15	Atromitos	14	2	5	7	-5	+0.1	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Olympiakos	14	8	5	1	+15	+7.0	29
2	AEK	14	7	6	1	+12	+3.6	27
3	PAOK	14	6	5	3	+11	+2.4	23
4	Panathinaikos	15	6	5	4	+3	+4.7	23
5	Atromitos	15	5	5	5	+0	-1.5	20
6	OFI Crete	15	5	3	7	-12	-4.2	18
7	Levadeiakos	14	4	5	5	-3	-3.7	17
8	Panetolikos	14	4	4	6	-4	-4.0	16
9	Aris Thessalonikis	14	4	4	6	-6	-5.3	16
10	Aris	14	4	4	6	-6	–	16
11	Kifisia	14	2	6	6	-9	-2.2	12
12	Volos NFC	14	4	0	10	-11	-1.3	12
13	Larisa	15	2	5	8	-11	-6.2	11
14	Panserraikos	15	2	4	9	-22	-2.3	10
15	Asteras Tripolis	14	1	4	9	-16	-3.3	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.