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Süper Lig

Referee: A Karaoğlan

Besiktas

T S S T U

1–3

Full-time

Fenerbahce

T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Besiktas Fenerbahce

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,2

3,7

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

2,0

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 72%

57%

86%

Points per game

1,9

2,6

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

43%

64%

Both score Ø 47%

50%

43%

Average goals

2,6

3,4

Scored

1,5

2,6

Conceded

1,1

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+1,9

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,19 xG 3,94

46% Possession 54%

4 Shots 21

1 Shots on target 9

2 Blocked shots 2

6 Goalkeeper saves 0

1 Corners 6

0 Offside 3

18 Free kicks against 14

5 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Besiktas 3. · Fenerbahce 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	15	13	1	1	+22	+22.4	40
2	Fenerbahce	14	12	1	1	+27	+25.2	37
3	Besiktas	14	8	2	4	+5	+8.5	26
4	Kayserispor	14	7	5	2	+5	-2.8	26
5	Ad. Demirspor	15	6	5	4	+8	-0.6	23
6	Trabzonspor	14	7	2	5	+6	-2.4	23
7	Antalyaspor	15	6	5	4	+5	-0.3	23
8	Kasimpasa	15	6	3	6	-4	-5.8	21
9	Rizespor	14	6	3	5	-5	-6.5	21
10	Hatayspor	14	4	6	4	+3	+2.6	18
11	Karagumruk	15	4	5	6	+4	-4.2	17
12	Ankaragücü	14	4	5	5	+0	-2.1	17
13	Sivasspor	14	3	6	5	-7	-0.5	15
14	Gaziantep	14	5	0	9	-8	-3.4	15
15	Konyaspor	14	3	5	6	-5	-4.0	14
16	Samsunspor	15	4	2	9	-8	+2.8	14
17	Pendikspor	14	3	4	7	-15	-8.7	13
18	Buyuksehyr	14	3	3	8	-6	-4.1	12
19	Alanyaspor	14	2	5	7	-12	-4.8	11
20	İstanbulspor	14	2	2	10	-15	-11.3	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	8	7	0	1	+16	+14.7	21
2	Galatasaray	7	7	0	0	+13	+13.9	21
3	Ad. Demirspor	8	6	1	1	+13	+4.0	19
4	Besiktas	6	5	1	0	+8	+6.6	16
5	Kayserispor	7	4	3	0	+6	+3.5	15
6	Trabzonspor	7	5	0	2	+5	+1.8	15
7	Antalyaspor	8	4	3	1	+3	-0.5	15
8	Rizespor	7	4	2	1	+3	+1.3	14
9	Kasimpasa	8	4	1	3	-1	-3.4	13
10	Karagumruk	8	3	3	2	+6	-0.9	12
11	Hatayspor	7	3	3	1	+3	+2.6	12
12	Samsunspor	7	3	1	3	+0	+1.5	10
13	Ankaragücü	7	2	3	2	+0	+1.4	9
14	Gaziantep	6	3	0	3	-1	-0.5	9
15	Alanyaspor	8	2	3	3	-2	+1.0	9
16	Konyaspor	7	2	2	3	+0	-0.3	8
17	Buyuksehyr	6	2	1	3	+1	-0.8	7
18	İstanbulspor	7	2	1	4	-4	-6.2	7
19	Sivasspor	7	0	5	2	-3	+1.9	5
20	Pendikspor	7	1	2	4	-11	-7.8	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	8	6	1	1	+9	+8.5	19
2	Fenerbahce	6	5	1	0	+11	+10.5	16
3	Kayserispor	7	3	2	2	-1	-6.3	11
4	Besiktas	8	3	1	4	-3	+1.9	10
5	Sivasspor	7	3	1	3	-4	-2.4	10
6	Antalyaspor	7	2	2	3	+2	+0.2	8
7	Trabzonspor	7	2	2	3	+1	-4.2	8
8	Ankaragücü	7	2	2	3	+0	-3.5	8
9	Kasimpasa	7	2	2	3	-3	-2.4	8
10	Pendikspor	7	2	2	3	-4	-0.9	8
11	Rizespor	7	2	1	4	-8	-7.8	7
12	Hatayspor	7	1	3	3	+0	-0.0	6
13	Konyaspor	7	1	3	3	-5	-3.8	6
14	Gaziantep	8	2	0	6	-7	-2.9	6
15	Karagumruk	7	1	2	4	-2	-3.2	5
16	Buyuksehyr	8	1	2	5	-7	-3.4	5
17	Ad. Demirspor	7	0	4	3	-5	-4.6	4
18	Samsunspor	8	1	1	6	-8	+1.3	4
19	Alanyaspor	6	0	2	4	-10	-5.8	2
20	İstanbulspor	7	0	1	6	-11	-5.0	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.