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Süper Lig
Referee: O Ergun
Besiktas
S U S U S
4–0
Full-time
Goztep
S U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Besiktas Goztep
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,0
1,8
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
1,2
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
64%
32%
Both score Ø 52%
68%
36%
Average goals
3,1
1,8
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
1,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,31 xG 0,53
59% Possession 41%
12 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 4
1 Offside 4
14 Free kicks against 18
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Besiktas 5. · Goztep 4.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Galatasaray 23 17 4 2 +38 +24.9 55
2 Fenerbahce 22 15 7 0 +31 +25.8 52
3 Trabzonspor 23 14 6 3 +18 +4.7 48
4 Goztep 22 11 8 3 +15 +1.7 41
5 Besiktas 22 11 7 4 +11 +21.4 40
6 Buyuksehyr 23 10 6 7 +14 +7.0 36
7 Samsunspor 22 7 9 6 -2 +6.1 30
8 Kocaelispor 23 8 6 9 -3 -0.4 30
9 Gaziantep 23 7 7 9 -10 -3.7 28
10 Alanyaspor 23 5 11 7 -2 -7.5 26
11 Rizespor 23 5 9 9 -7 -1.6 24
12 Genclerbirligi 23 6 5 12 -6 -10.5 23
13 Konyaspor 23 5 8 10 -8 -4.7 23
14 Antalyaspor 23 6 5 12 -14 -16.3 23
15 Eyüpspor 23 5 6 12 -16 -13.5 21
16 Kasimpasa 22 4 7 11 -12 -9.3 19
17 Kayserispor 23 3 10 10 -25 -11.9 19
18 Karagumruk 22 3 3 16 -22 -12.0 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Besiktas Goztep
1–0 W. Ndidi
O. Kokcu
9′
Wilfred Ndidi 🟨
15′
16′
🟨 Héliton
2–0 M. Murillo
K. Asllani
36′
Half-time 2–0
58′
🔁 A. Antunes
↦ F. Krastev
58′
🔁 A. Kurtulan
↦ O. Bayrak
3–0 J. Olaitan
O. Kokcu
59′
Orkun Kökçü 🟨
66′
68′
🔁 M. Mohammed
↦ A. Dennis
68′
🔁 Jeh
↦ Janderson
F. Uduokhai 🔁
↦ E. Topcu
71′
4–0 Oh Hyeon-Gyu
V. Cerny
74′
C. Under 🔁
↦ V. Cerny
76′
79′
🔁 Guilherme Luiz
↦ Juan Santos
S. Ucan 🔁
↦ O. Kokcu
81′
M. Hekimoglu 🔁
↦ K. Asllani
81′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Besiktas

4-1-4-1
30 E. Destanoglu G
62 M. Murillo D
12 E. Agbadou D
53 E. Topcu D
33 R. Yilmaz D
4 W. Ndidi M
18 V. Cerny M
23 K. Asllani M
10 O. Kokcu M
15 J. Olaitan M
9 Oh Hyeon-Gyu F
Bench (10)
32 D. S. Vasquez Llach
7 M. Rashica
25 G. Sazdagi
11 C. Under
14 F. Uduokhai
26 Jota Silva
58 Y. Ozcan
8 S. Ucan
17 K. Kayra Yilmaz
91 M. Hekimoglu

Coach: Sergen Yalcin

Goztep

3-4-1-2
1 M. Lis G
3 Allan Godoi D
5 Heliton D
26 M. Bokele D
77 O. Bayrak M
30 A. Dennis M
20 N. Miroshi M
15 A. Cherni M
10 F. Krastev F
39 Janderson F
9 Juan Santos F
Bench (9)
17 E. Kilicarslan
8 A. Antunes
23 F. Bayir
6 M. Mohammed
14 Guilherme Luiz
22 U. Yildiz
4 T. Altikardes
2 A. Kurtulan
19 Jeh

Coach: Stanimir Stoilov

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,72
U
3,62
B
4,37
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,80
U2,5
1,91
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

O Ergun · 34 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.