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Ligue 1

Referee: J Brisard

Metz

T T T T U

0–0

Full-time

Nantes

T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Metz Nantes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,2

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

3,0

2,3

Scored

0,7

0,8

Conceded

2,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,7

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ligue 1 · 27/26 matches

Win Ø 13%

11%

15%

Points per game

0,5

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

59%

46%

Both score Ø 49%

48%

50%

Average goals

3,1

2,7

Scored

0,9

Conceded

2,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,3

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,28 xG 0,46

66% Possession 34%

19 Shots 6

5 Shots on target 2

5 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

6 Corners 3

6 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Metz 18. · Nantes 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Paris SG	27	20	3	4	+38	+35.0	63
2	Lens	28	19	2	7	+27	+16.8	59
3	Lille	28	15	5	8	+11	+13.7	50
4	Marseille	27	15	4	8	+19	+10.5	49
5	Lyon	28	14	6	8	+12	+6.9	48
6	Rennes	28	13	8	7	+7	+0.9	47
7	Monaco	27	14	4	9	+9	+8.5	46
8	Strasbourg	28	12	7	9	+12	+12.5	43
9	Toulouse	28	10	7	11	+4	+3.0	37
10	Lorient	27	9	10	8	-4	-2.5	37
11	Brest	28	10	6	12	-6	-2.5	36
12	Angers	28	9	6	13	-13	-18.8	33
13	Paris FC	27	7	10	10	-11	-13.0	31
14	Le Havre	27	6	9	12	-13	-10.7	27
15	Nice	28	7	6	15	-22	-15.8	27
16	Auxerre	27	5	7	15	-14	-7.8	22
17	Nantes	26	4	5	17	-21	-13.5	17
18	Metz	27	3	5	19	-35	-23.0	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lens	14	12	0	2	+22	+16.9	36
2	Paris SG	13	11	1	1	+26	+18.3	34
3	Marseille	14	9	3	2	+17	+9.3	30
4	Lyon	13	9	1	3	+11	+8.0	28
5	Monaco	14	9	1	4	+10	+8.9	28
6	Strasbourg	14	8	3	3	+14	+15.1	27
7	Lille	14	8	3	3	+9	+11.5	27
8	Lorient	13	7	5	1	+7	+4.7	26
9	Rennes	14	7	4	3	+10	+7.2	25
10	Brest	14	7	3	4	+6	+7.2	24
11	Le Havre	14	5	6	3	+3	+2.0	21
12	Angers	14	6	3	5	+1	-4.8	21
13	Toulouse	14	5	5	4	+4	+6.6	20
14	Nice	14	4	5	5	-8	-4.3	17
15	Paris FC	13	4	4	5	-6	-3.9	16
16	Auxerre	14	4	3	7	-2	+1.5	15
17	Metz	13	2	3	8	-10	-3.1	9
18	Nantes	14	2	2	10	-12	-7.3	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Paris SG	14	9	2	3	+12	+16.7	29
2	Lens	14	7	2	5	+5	-0.2	23
3	Lille	14	7	2	5	+2	+2.1	23
4	Rennes	14	6	4	4	-3	-6.3	22
5	Lyon	15	5	5	5	+1	-1.1	20
6	Marseille	13	6	1	6	+2	+1.2	19
7	Monaco	13	5	3	5	-1	-0.4	18
8	Toulouse	14	5	2	7	+0	-3.6	17
9	Strasbourg	14	4	4	6	-2	-2.6	16
10	Paris FC	14	3	6	5	-5	-9.1	15
11	Brest	14	3	3	8	-12	-9.7	12
12	Angers	14	3	3	8	-14	-14.0	12
13	Lorient	14	2	5	7	-11	-7.2	11
14	Nice	14	3	1	10	-14	-11.5	10
15	Nantes	12	2	3	7	-9	-6.2	9
16	Auxerre	13	1	4	8	-12	-9.4	7
17	Le Havre	13	1	3	9	-16	-12.7	6
18	Metz	14	1	2	11	-25	-19.9	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.