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Premiership

Referee: K Clancy

Livingston

U U U U T

2–2

Full-time

Hearts

T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Livingston Hearts

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

0,7

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

2,5

1,8

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Premiership · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 34%

65%

Points per game

0,5

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

61%

45%

Both score Ø 54%

68%

39%

Average goals

3,0

2,5

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

2,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,9

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,97 xG 1,86

35% Possession 65%

15 Shots 19

3 Shots on target 6

7 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 5

4 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Livingston 12. · Hearts 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rangers	32	18	12	2	+32	+17.5	66
2	Hearts	31	20	6	5	+28	+12.7	66
3	Celtic	31	19	4	8	+22	+18.0	61
4	Motherwell	32	14	12	6	+25	+11.6	54
5	Hibernian	32	13	12	7	+16	+5.6	51
6	Falkirk	32	13	7	12	+0	+5.5	46
7	Dundee United	32	8	13	11	-10	-11.9	37
8	Dundee	31	8	8	15	-18	-7.8	32
9	Aberdeen	32	8	6	18	-17	-15.8	30
10	St Mirren	32	7	9	16	-20	-3.3	30
11	Kilmarnock	32	6	9	17	-28	-14.9	27
12	Livingston	31	1	12	18	-30	-17.0	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	16	12	4	0	+20	+8.1	40
2	Rangers	17	11	5	1	+20	+14.4	38
3	Motherwell	17	10	5	2	+20	+12.1	35
4	Celtic	15	11	1	3	+21	+14.6	34
5	Hibernian	16	8	6	2	+16	+9.1	30
6	Falkirk	16	6	5	5	+6	+7.5	23
7	Dundee	15	6	4	5	-1	-4.4	22
8	Dundee United	16	5	6	5	-2	-4.3	21
9	St Mirren	16	5	5	6	-6	+1.2	20
10	Kilmarnock	16	5	3	8	-5	-0.9	18
11	Aberdeen	15	4	5	6	+2	-6.9	17
12	Livingston	15	1	6	8	-9	-6.6	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rangers	15	7	7	1	+12	+3.0	28
2	Celtic	16	8	3	5	+1	+3.3	27
3	Hearts	15	8	2	5	+8	+4.6	26
4	Falkirk	16	7	2	7	-6	-2.0	23
5	Hibernian	16	5	6	5	+0	-3.5	21
6	Motherwell	15	4	7	4	+5	-0.5	19
7	Dundee United	16	3	7	6	-8	-7.7	16
8	Aberdeen	17	4	1	12	-19	-8.9	13
9	St Mirren	16	2	4	10	-14	-4.5	10
10	Dundee	16	2	4	10	-17	-3.4	10
11	Kilmarnock	16	1	6	9	-23	-14.0	9
12	Livingston	16	0	6	10	-21	-10.4	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.