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Super League

Referee: S Klossner

AEK

T S S S

2–2

Full-time

PAOK

S S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK PAOK

Last 6 — all competitions · 4/5 matches

Win Ø 68%

75%

60%

Points per game

2,3

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

2,8

3,8

Scored

1,8

2,2

Conceded

1,0

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,6

This season — Super League · 4/5 matches

Win Ø 68%

75%

60%

Points per game

2,3

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

2,8

3,8

Scored

1,8

2,2

Conceded

1,0

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

9 Shots 11

4 Shots on target 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 4

2 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match AEK 7. · PAOK 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	5	4	1	0	+9	13
2	Xanthi	5	4	0	1	+2	12
3	Volos NFC	6	4	0	2	-3	12
4	OFI Crete	6	3	2	1	+5	11
5	PAOK	5	3	2	0	+3	11
6	Larisa	6	3	1	2	+3	10
7	AEK	4	3	0	1	+3	9
8	Aris	5	1	2	2	+2	5
9	Aris Thessalonikis	5	1	2	2	+2	5
10	Atromitos	5	1	2	2	+0	5
11	Panathinaikos	6	1	2	3	-9	5
12	Panionios	5	1	1	3	-2	4
13	Asteras Tripolis	5	1	0	4	-4	3
14	Lamia	5	0	3	2	-4	3
15	Panetolikos	5	0	0	5	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	3	3	0	0	+8	9
2	Volos NFC	3	3	0	0	+3	9
3	PAOK	4	2	2	0	+2	8
4	OFI Crete	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Xanthi	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Aris	3	1	1	1	+3	4
7	Aris Thessalonikis	3	1	1	1	+3	4
8	Atromitos	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Larisa	2	1	0	1	+2	3
10	AEK	2	1	0	1	+1	3
11	Lamia	3	0	3	0	+0	3
12	Asteras Tripolis	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Panionios	3	1	0	2	-1	3
14	Panathinaikos	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Panetolikos	2	0	0	2	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Larisa	4	2	1	1	+1	7
2	AEK	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Xanthi	3	2	0	1	-1	6
4	OFI Crete	4	1	2	1	+1	5
5	Olympiakos	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Panathinaikos	4	1	1	2	-7	4
7	PAOK	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Volos NFC	3	1	0	2	-6	3
9	Atromitos	2	0	1	1	-1	1
10	Aris	2	0	1	1	-1	1
11	Aris Thessalonikis	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Panionios	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Asteras Tripolis	3	0	0	3	-4	0
14	Lamia	2	0	0	2	-4	0
15	Panetolikos	3	0	0	3	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.