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OBOS-ligaen
Notodden
S U T S T
1–1
Full-time
Jerv
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Notodden Jerv
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 29%
25%
33%
Points per game
0,9
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
58%
50%
Both score Ø 56%
58%
54%
Average goals
3,0
2,9
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,8
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Notodden 13. · Jerv 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Aalesund 24 20 3 1 +35 63
2 Sandefjord 25 15 8 2 +18 53
3 Start 25 16 4 5 +15 52
4 KFUM Oslo 24 11 7 6 +14 40
5 Kongsvinger 25 11 4 10 +0 37
6 Nest-Sotra 24 10 6 8 +7 36
7 Sogndal 24 10 5 9 +6 35
8 Raufoss 24 11 1 12 -6 34
9 Sandnes ULF 25 9 5 11 +2 32
10 Ham-Kam 25 9 5 11 -1 32
11 Jerv 24 8 8 8 -6 32
12 Ull/Kisa 24 9 4 11 +0 31
13 Notodden 24 6 3 15 -13 21
14 Strommen 24 4 9 11 -14 21
15 Skeid 24 3 8 13 -14 17
16 Tromsdalen Uil 25 2 2 21 -43 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Notodden Jerv
M. Olsen 🟨
24′
1–0 H. Gustavsen
29′
Half-time 1–0
S. Hansen 🔁
↦ A. Sankoh
46′
46′
🔁 O. Håbestad
↦ B. Hove
J. Robson 🟨
50′
55′
O. Håbestad 1–1
57′
🟨 H. Suggelia
60′
🟨 H. Suggelia
60′
🟥 H. Suggelia
E. Johansen 🔁
↦ J. Robson
82′
E. Midtgarden 🔁
↦ K. Tøsse
82′
85′
🔁 P. Reinhardsen
↦ A. Dang
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Notodden

12 E. Vasby
5 S. Jenssen
18 J. Robson
6 M. Ledger
14 M. Olsen
23 G. Salasiwa
11 M. Holmen
20 A. Sankoh
8 H. Gustavsen
21 K. Tøsse
22 A. Bakke
Bench (6)
25 S. Hansen
2 E. Johansen
10 E. Midtgarden
15 E. Hagen
24 M. Langset
30 B. Grøtterud

Coach: K. Dokken

Jerv

20 Ø. Øvretveit
4 E. Knudsen
3 B. Hove
7 S. Larsen
18 J. Solli
2 T. Wichne
8 T. Zernichow
11 D. Aase
13 H. Suggelia
22 A. Dang
9 L. Ferreira
Bench (5)
23 O. Håbestad
5 P. Reinhardsen
1 B. Boujar
96 A. Okachi
31 D. Roppestad

Coach: A. Sandstø

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.