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La Liga

Referee: Carlos Del Cerro

Alaves

U U T T T

2–0

Full-time

Mallorca

T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alaves Mallorca

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

1,5

2,3

Scored

0,3

0,7

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-1,0

This season — La Liga · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

1,5

2,3

Scored

0,3

0,7

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%

11 Shots 5

6 Shots on target 1

2 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 1

16 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Alaves 17. · Mallorca 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	7	4	3	0	+6	15
2	Granada	7	4	2	1	+7	14
3	Ath Madrid	7	4	2	1	+3	14
4	Barcelona	7	4	1	2	+6	13
5	Sociedad	6	4	1	1	+6	13
6	Ath Bilbao	7	3	3	1	+4	12
7	Villarreal	7	3	2	2	+7	11
8	Sevilla	6	3	1	2	+2	10
9	Valencia	7	2	3	2	-1	9
10	Valladolid	7	2	3	2	-1	9
11	Eibar	7	2	2	3	+0	8
12	Betis	7	2	2	3	-5	8
13	Getafe	7	1	4	2	-1	7
14	Levante	6	2	1	3	-1	7
15	Osasuna	6	1	4	1	-1	7
16	Celta	7	1	3	3	-5	6
17	Alaves	6	1	2	3	-5	5
18	Espanol	7	1	2	4	-8	5
19	Mallorca	6	1	1	4	-6	4
20	Leganes	7	0	2	5	-7	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Ath Bilbao	4	3	0	1	+4	9
3	Villarreal	4	2	2	0	+6	8
4	Ath Madrid	4	2	2	0	+2	8
5	Real Madrid	3	2	1	0	+3	7
6	Levante	3	2	1	0	+3	7
7	Betis	4	2	1	1	+2	7
8	Sociedad	2	2	0	0	+5	6
9	Valencia	4	1	3	0	+2	6
10	Eibar	3	2	0	1	+2	6
11	Granada	3	2	0	1	+2	6
12	Getafe	4	1	2	1	+0	5
13	Alaves	3	1	1	1	+0	4
14	Mallorca	4	1	1	2	-2	4
15	Celta	4	1	1	2	-3	4
16	Osasuna	3	0	3	0	+0	3
17	Valladolid	2	0	2	0	+0	2
18	Sevilla	2	0	1	1	-1	1
19	Leganes	4	0	1	3	-5	1
20	Espanol	4	0	0	4	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sevilla	4	3	0	1	+3	9
2	Granada	4	2	2	0	+5	8
3	Real Madrid	4	2	2	0	+3	8
4	Sociedad	4	2	1	1	+1	7
5	Valladolid	5	2	1	2	-1	7
6	Ath Madrid	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	Espanol	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Barcelona	4	1	1	2	-1	4
9	Osasuna	3	1	1	1	-1	4
10	Villarreal	3	1	0	2	+1	3
11	Ath Bilbao	3	0	3	0	+0	3
12	Valencia	3	1	0	2	-3	3
13	Getafe	3	0	2	1	-1	2
14	Eibar	4	0	2	2	-2	2
15	Celta	3	0	2	1	-2	2
16	Leganes	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	Alaves	3	0	1	2	-5	1
18	Betis	3	0	1	2	-7	1
19	Levante	3	0	0	3	-4	0
20	Mallorca	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.