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Eredivisie
Referee: Dennis Higler
Zwolle
T U S S T
0–4
Full-time
PSV Eindhoven
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zwolle PSV Eindhoven
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,2
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
4,2
3,5
Scored
2,0
2,8
Conceded
2,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+2,2
This season — Eredivisie · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 50%
29%
71%
Points per game
1,0
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 72%
86%
57%
Both score Ø 71%
71%
71%
Average goals
4,1
3,3
Scored
1,9
2,6
Conceded
2,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+1,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

46% Possession 54%
14 Shots 25
4 Shots on target 15
3 Blocked shots 5
11 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 6
10 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zwolle 13. · PSV Eindhoven 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 8 6 2 0 +21 20
2 PSV Eindhoven 7 5 2 0 +13 17
3 Vitesse 8 5 2 1 +4 17
4 AZ Alkmaar 7 5 1 1 +13 16
5 Twente 7 3 3 1 +4 12
6 Sparta Rotterdam 8 3 3 2 +1 12
7 Willem II 7 4 0 3 -1 12
8 Utrecht 7 3 2 2 +3 11
9 Heracles 7 3 2 2 -1 11
10 Heerenveen 8 2 4 2 +2 10
11 Feyenoord 7 2 4 1 -1 10
12 VVV Venlo 8 3 0 5 -7 9
13 Zwolle 7 2 1 4 -3 7
14 Groningen 8 2 1 5 -5 7
15 FC Emmen 8 2 1 5 -6 7
16 Den Haag 8 2 0 6 -6 6
17 For Sittard 8 0 3 5 -13 3
18 Waalwijk 8 0 1 7 -18 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zwolle PSV Eindhoven
Gustavo Hamer 🟨
27′
30′
🟨 Nick Viergever
39′
P. Rosario 0–1
Bruma
Half-time 0–1
51′
🔁 R. Doan
↦ Bruma
67′
🟨 Jeroen Zoet
68′
D. Malen 0–2
S. Bergwijn
72′
R. Doan 0–3
S. Bergwijn
V. van Crooij 🔁
↦ I. Bel Hassani
73′
T. Bruns 🔁
↦ L. Thy
73′
74′
🔁 C. Gakpo
↦ S. Bergwijn
79′
🔁 É. Gutiérrez
↦ M. Ihattaren
86′
🟨 Cody Gakpo
D. Huiberts 🔁
↦ M. Saymak
91′
94′
É. Gutiérrez 0–4
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Zwolle

4-3-3
1 X. Mous G
29 D. Lachman D
31 S. van Wermeskerken D
15 S. Kersten D
11 I. Bel Hassani F
6 M. Saymak M
22 P. Clement M
38 G. Hamer D
8 R. Ghoochannejhad F
10 L. Thy M
17 D. Johnsen F
Bench (8)
7 V. van Crooij
20 T. Bruns
30 D. Huiberts
16 M. Zetterer
4 Y. Nakayama
19 R. Dekker
40 M. Hauptmeijer
47 D. Bajselmani

Coach: J. Stegeman

PSV Eindhoven

4-3-3
1 J. Zoet G
4 N. Viergever D
5 T. Baumgartl D
22 D. Dumfries D
8 J. Hendrix M
32 M. Sadílek D
18 P. Rosario M
24 M. Ihattaren M
7 Bruma F
10 S. Bergwijn F
9 D. Malen F
Bench (11)
25 R. Doan
19 C. Gakpo
15 É. Gutiérrez
28 O. Boscagli
33 J. Teze
13 L. Unnerstall
11 K. Mitroglou
21 R. Ruiter
30 R. Thomas
3 Toni Lato
6 D. Schwaab

Coach: M. van Bommel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
6,64
U
4,97
B ✓
1,41
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,44
U2,5
2,75
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Dennis Higler · 127 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.