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Super League
Referee: E Manouhos
AEK
T S
2–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK Lamia
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
4,0
3,0
Scored
2,0
1,5
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
This season — Super League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
4,0
3,0
Scored
2,0
1,5
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

16 Shots 2
10 Shots on target 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 8
10 Corners 1
1 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 19
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match AEK 6. · Lamia 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 3 3 0 0 +7 9
2 PAOK 3 3 0 0 +3 9
3 Xanthi 3 3 0 0 +3 9
4 Volos NFC 4 3 0 1 -2 9
5 OFI Crete 4 2 2 0 +4 8
6 AEK 2 1 0 1 +0 3
7 Panionios 3 1 0 2 -1 3
8 Lamia 2 0 2 0 +0 2
9 Atromitos 3 0 2 1 -1 2
10 Aris 2 0 1 1 -1 1
11 Aris Thessalonikis 2 0 1 1 -1 1
12 Panathinaikos 2 0 1 1 -2 1
13 Larisa 3 0 1 2 -2 1
14 Asteras Tripolis 3 0 0 3 -3 0
15 Panetolikos 3 0 0 3 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

AEK Lamia
Ognjen Vranješ 🟨
16′
36′
🔁 A. Vasilogiannis
↦ D. Bejarano
0–1 V. Pliatsikas
own goal
37′
Half-time 1–1
1–1 O. Vranješ
M. Livaja
47′
V. Klonaridis 🔁
↦ C. Albanis
64′
65′
🔁 Thuram
↦ L. Romanić
67′
🟨 Scarduelli Vanderson
Marko Livaja 🟨
68′
D. Verde 🔁
↦ Francisco Geraldes
71′
K. Galanopoulos 🔁
↦ N. Krstičić
76′
85′
🔁 K. Bouloulis
↦ E. Dimoutsos
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

AEK

4-2-3-1
1 V. Barkas G
21 O. Vranješ D
2 M. Bakakis D
3 Hélder Lopes D
4 M. Oikonomou D
6 N. Krstičić M
8 André Simões M
12 Francisco Geraldes M
10 M. Livaja F
14 C. Albanis F
9 G. Giakoumakis F
Bench (7)
17 V. Klonaridis
7 D. Verde
25 K. Galanopoulos
27 Paulinho
11 M. Deletić
16 P. Tsintotas
23 N. Hult

Coach: N. Kostenoglou

Lamia

3-5-2
1 M. Vellidis G
27 Wanderson
24 L. Vyntra D
8 V. Pliatsikas M
23 I. Skondras D
4 D. Adejo D
21 E. Dimoutsos M
16 D. Bejarano M
34 M. Saliakas D
11 A. Karamanos F
18 L. Romanić F
Bench (7)
7 A. Vasilogiannis
9 Thuram
61 K. Bouloulis
99 P. Katsikas
20 D. Anakoglou
5 A. Tzanetopoulos
19 I. Sassi

Coach: S. Antoniou

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,22
U
5,67
B
12,61
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,78
U2,5 ✓
1,99
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

E Manouhos · 39 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
35,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.