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Bundesliga

Referee: M Schüttengruber

Sturm Graz

T S S T U

4–1

Full-time

Admira

U T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz Admira

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,2

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,5

3,2

Scored

1,2

0,5

Conceded

1,3

2,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-2,2

This season — Bundesliga · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,6

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 51%

38%

63%

Both score Ø 38%

25%

50%

Average goals

2,4

3,4

Scored

1,4

0,5

Conceded

1,0

2,9

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-2,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

53% Possession 47%

18 Shots 10

7 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 1

1 Offside 3

13 Free kicks against 19

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sturm Graz 5. · Admira 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	9	8	1	0	+31	25
2	LASK	9	6	2	1	+11	20
3	Wolfsberger AC	9	6	1	2	+13	19
4	SK Rapid	8	5	1	2	+8	16
5	Sturm Graz	8	4	1	3	+3	13
6	Hartberg	8	3	2	3	-2	11
7	Tirol	9	2	3	4	-5	9
8	Austria Vienna	9	2	2	5	-7	8
9	Altach	8	2	1	5	-2	7
10	Mattersburg	8	2	1	5	-12	7
11	St. Polten	9	1	3	5	-19	6
12	Admira	8	0	2	6	-19	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	5	5	0	0	+19	15
2	Wolfsberger AC	5	3	1	1	+10	10
3	Altach	4	2	1	1	+6	7
4	Hartberg	4	2	1	1	+2	7
5	SK Rapid	4	2	0	2	+3	6
6	Sturm Graz	4	2	0	2	+2	6
7	LASK	4	1	2	1	+1	5
8	Austria Vienna	4	1	1	2	-3	4
9	Tirol	4	1	1	2	-4	4
10	Mattersburg	5	1	1	3	-6	4
11	Admira	4	0	1	3	-6	1
12	St. Polten	4	0	1	3	-11	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	LASK	5	5	0	0	+10	15
2	Salzburg	4	3	1	0	+12	10
3	SK Rapid	4	3	1	0	+5	10
4	Wolfsberger AC	4	3	0	1	+3	9
5	Sturm Graz	4	2	1	1	+1	7
6	Tirol	5	1	2	2	-1	5
7	St. Polten	5	1	2	2	-8	5
8	Austria Vienna	5	1	1	3	-4	4
9	Hartberg	4	1	1	2	-4	4
10	Mattersburg	3	1	0	2	-6	3
11	Admira	4	0	1	3	-13	1
12	Altach	4	0	0	4	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.