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Bundesliga
Referee: S Ebner
SK Rapid
S T S S S
3–3
Full-time
Hartberg
U U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

SK Rapid Hartberg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,0
4,3
Scored
2,3
1,8
Conceded
0,7
2,5
Goal diff per game
+1,7
-0,7
This season — Bundesliga · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 51%
63%
38%
Points per game
2,0
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
63%
75%
Both score Ø 63%
50%
75%
Average goals
3,0
4,3
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
1,0
2,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

53% Possession 47%
23 Shots 18
9 Shots on target 8
3 Blocked shots 6
5 Goalkeeper saves 6
6 Corners 6
1 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match SK Rapid 4. · Hartberg 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 9 8 1 0 +31 25
2 LASK 9 6 2 1 +11 20
3 Wolfsberger AC 9 6 1 2 +13 19
4 SK Rapid 8 5 1 2 +8 16
5 Sturm Graz 9 5 1 3 +6 16
6 Hartberg 8 3 2 3 -2 11
7 Mattersburg 9 3 1 5 -10 10
8 Tirol 9 2 3 4 -5 9
9 Austria Vienna 9 2 2 5 -7 8
10 Altach 9 2 1 6 -4 7
11 St. Polten 9 1 3 5 -19 6
12 Admira 9 0 2 7 -22 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

SK Rapid Hartberg
1–0 Taxiarchis Fountas
Christoph Knasmüllner
17′
Dejan Ljubičić 🟨
20′
30′
🟨 Tobias Kainz
45′
Jodel Dossou 1–1
Sandro Gotal
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 Dario Tadić
↦ Sandro Gotal
Dalibor Velimirović 🔁
↦ Dejan Ljubičić
48′
51′
David Cancola 1–2
Rajko Rep
Kelvin Arase 🔁
↦ Aliou Badji
57′
71′
🟨 David Cancola
2–2 Taxiarchis Fountas
Maximilian Ullmann
72′
77′
🔁 Lukas Ried
↦ Bakary Nimaga
80′
🟨 Michael Huber
83′
Dario Tadić 2–3
Jodel Dossou
Melih Ibrahimoglu 🔁
↦ Christoph Knasmüllner
84′
86′
🔁 Thomas Rotter
↦ Jodel Dossou
3–3 Stefan Schwab
Philipp Schobesberger
90′
Stefan Schwab 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Rene Swete
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

SK Rapid

4-2-3-1
1 Richard Strebinger G
24 Stephan Auer D
17 Christopher Dibon D
4 Mateo Barać D
31 Maximilian Ullmann D
39 Dejan Ljubičić M
8 Stefan Schwab M
9 Taxiarchis Fountas M
28 Christoph Knasmüllner M
7 Philipp Schobesberger M
27 Aliou Badji F
Bench (7)
21 Tobias Knoflach
22 Filip Stojković
47 Dalibor Velimirović
20 Maximilian Hofmann
40 Melih Ibrahimoglu
36 Kelvin Arase
43 Dragoljub Savić

Coach: D. Kühbauer

Hartberg

4-1-4-1
1 Rene Swete G
23 Tobias Kainz D
4 Michael Huber D
26 Patrick Obermuller D
14 Christian Klem D
42 Bakary Nimaga M
20 Jodel Dossou M
18 David Cancola M
28 Jurgen Heil M
40 Sandro Gotal M
9 Rajko Rep F
Bench (7)
21 Florian Faist
22 Dante Amadou
31 Thomas Rotter
8 Christoph Kröpfl
27 Lukas Ried
24 Dario Tadić
19 Tomas Ostrak

Coach: M. Schopp

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Ebner · 100 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.