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Super League

Referee: L Tschudi

Basel

S S S U S

3–0

Full-time

Luzern

T T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Basel Luzern

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

83%

17%

Points per game

2,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,2

Scored

2,7

0,8

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,8

-0,5

This season — Super League · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 50%

75%

25%

Points per game

2,4

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

88%

25%

Both score Ø 57%

75%

38%

Average goals

3,6

1,9

Scored

2,6

0,9

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,6

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

63% Possession 37%

15 Shots 12

8 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

3 Corners 12

2 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Basel 1. · Luzern 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Basel	8	6	1	1	+13	19
2	Young Boys	9	5	4	0	+9	19
3	St. Gallen	9	5	1	3	+5	16
4	Sion	9	5	1	3	+2	16
5	Servette	8	2	4	2	+1	10
6	Luzern	8	2	3	3	-1	9
7	Zurich	8	2	2	4	-11	8
8	Lugano	8	1	3	4	-1	6
9	Thun	9	1	3	5	-10	6
10	Xamax	8	0	4	4	-7	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Young Boys	5	3	2	0	+7	11
2	Basel	4	3	0	1	+6	9
3	St. Gallen	5	3	0	2	+4	9
4	Zurich	4	2	1	1	-1	7
5	Servette	4	1	3	0	+1	6
6	Sion	4	2	0	2	-1	6
7	Luzern	4	1	2	1	-1	5
8	Lugano	3	0	2	1	-1	2
9	Thun	5	0	2	3	-6	2
10	Xamax	4	0	1	3	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Basel	4	3	1	0	+7	10
2	Sion	5	3	1	1	+3	10
3	Young Boys	4	2	2	0	+2	8
4	St. Gallen	4	2	1	1	+1	7
5	Servette	4	1	1	2	+0	4
6	Lugano	5	1	1	3	+0	4
7	Luzern	4	1	1	2	+0	4
8	Thun	4	1	1	2	-4	4
9	Xamax	4	0	3	1	-1	3
10	Zurich	4	0	1	3	-10	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.