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Serie B

Brescia

S U T T U

3–1

Full-time

Salernitana

S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brescia Salernitana

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

17%

83%

Points per game

1,0

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

100%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

100%

17%

Average goals

3,5

1,8

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

1,8

0,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,8

This season — Serie B · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 45%

20%

70%

Points per game

1,0

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

80%

40%

Both score Ø 60%

70%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,3

Scored

1,4

1,6

Conceded

1,6

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

21 Shots 7

8 Shots on target 2

9 Corners 6

10 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Brescia 12. · Salernitana 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salernitana	10	7	2	1	+9	23
2	Spal	10	6	3	1	+10	21
3	Lecce	10	5	4	1	+12	19
4	Empoli	10	5	4	1	+7	19
5	Frosinone	10	6	1	3	+2	19
6	Venezia	11	5	3	3	+5	18
7	Chievo	10	5	2	3	+5	17
8	Monza	11	4	5	2	+2	17
9	Cittadella	9	4	2	3	+6	14
10	Pordenone	10	2	7	1	+1	13
11	Reggiana	9	3	2	4	-5	11
12	Brescia	10	2	4	4	-2	10
13	Reggina	11	2	4	5	-6	10
14	Pisa	10	2	4	4	-10	10
15	Vicenza	9	1	6	2	-1	9
16	Cosenza	10	1	6	3	-2	9
17	Cremonese	10	1	5	4	-4	8
18	Pescara	10	2	1	7	-11	7
19	Ascoli	10	1	2	7	-8	5
20	Virtus Entella	10	0	5	5	-10	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salernitana	6	5	1	0	+9	16
2	Spal	5	4	1	0	+9	13
3	Venezia	6	4	0	2	+4	12
4	Empoli	5	3	2	0	+6	11
5	Frosinone	6	3	1	2	-1	10
6	Lecce	5	2	3	0	+8	9
7	Chievo	5	3	0	2	+4	9
8	Reggiana	5	2	2	1	+3	8
9	Monza	5	2	2	1	+2	8
10	Cittadella	4	2	1	1	+4	7
11	Reggina	5	2	1	2	+1	7
12	Brescia	5	1	3	1	+2	6
13	Pordenone	5	0	5	0	+0	5
14	Pisa	4	1	2	1	-2	5
15	Cremonese	5	1	2	2	-2	5
16	Vicenza	4	0	4	0	+0	4
17	Pescara	5	1	1	3	-3	4
18	Ascoli	5	1	1	3	-4	4
19	Cosenza	5	0	3	2	-2	3
20	Virtus Entella	5	0	1	4	-9	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lecce	5	3	1	1	+4	10
2	Frosinone	4	3	0	1	+3	9
3	Monza	6	2	3	1	+0	9
4	Spal	5	2	2	1	+1	8
5	Empoli	5	2	2	1	+1	8
6	Chievo	5	2	2	1	+1	8
7	Pordenone	5	2	2	1	+1	8
8	Cittadella	5	2	1	2	+2	7
9	Salernitana	4	2	1	1	+0	7
10	Venezia	5	1	3	1	+1	6
11	Cosenza	5	1	3	1	+0	6
12	Vicenza	5	1	2	2	-1	5
13	Pisa	6	1	2	3	-8	5
14	Virtus Entella	5	0	4	1	-1	4
15	Brescia	5	1	1	3	-4	4
16	Cremonese	5	0	3	2	-2	3
17	Reggina	6	0	3	3	-7	3
18	Pescara	5	1	0	4	-8	3
19	Reggiana	4	1	0	3	-8	3
20	Ascoli	5	0	1	4	-4	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.