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Bundesliga

Referee: J Spurny

Sturm Graz

S T S S S

3–0

Full-time

Admira

T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz Admira

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

83%

17%

Points per game

2,5

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

2,8

3,8

Scored

2,3

1,0

Conceded

0,5

2,8

Goal diff per game

+1,8

-1,8

This season — Bundesliga · 9/10 matches

Win Ø 38%

56%

20%

Points per game

2,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

33%

90%

Both score Ø 47%

33%

60%

Average goals

2,3

4,1

Scored

1,8

1,2

Conceded

0,6

2,9

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-1,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

64% Possession 36%

19 Shots 6

7 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 0

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

8 Corners 3

1 Offside 1

19 Free kicks against 19

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sturm Graz 4. · Admira 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	LASK	10	7	2	1	+16	23
2	Salzburg	10	7	1	2	+23	22
3	SK Rapid	10	6	3	1	+11	21
4	Sturm Graz	9	5	3	1	+11	18
5	St. Polten	10	4	2	4	+3	14
6	Tirol	10	4	2	4	+0	14
7	Wolfsberger AC	9	3	1	5	-4	10
8	Austria Vienna	10	2	4	4	-5	10
9	Ried	10	3	1	6	-10	10
10	Hartberg	10	2	4	4	-10	10
11	Admira	10	2	1	7	-17	7
12	Altach	10	1	2	7	-18	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	LASK	6	6	0	0	+17	18
2	SK Rapid	5	3	2	0	+8	11
3	Salzburg	4	3	0	1	+12	9
4	Ried	5	3	0	2	+0	9
5	Tirol	5	2	2	1	+4	8
6	Sturm Graz	4	2	1	1	+3	7
7	Admira	5	2	0	3	-5	6
8	Hartberg	5	1	2	2	-3	5
9	Austria Vienna	5	1	2	2	-5	5
10	Altach	6	1	2	3	-6	5
11	St. Polten	5	1	1	3	-4	4
12	Wolfsberger AC	4	0	1	3	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	6	4	1	1	+11	13
2	Sturm Graz	5	3	2	0	+8	11
3	St. Polten	5	3	1	1	+7	10
4	SK Rapid	5	3	1	1	+3	10
5	Wolfsberger AC	5	3	0	2	+1	9
6	Tirol	5	2	0	3	-4	6
7	Austria Vienna	5	1	2	2	+0	5
8	LASK	4	1	2	1	-1	5
9	Hartberg	5	1	2	2	-7	5
10	Ried	5	0	1	4	-10	1
11	Admira	5	0	1	4	-12	1
12	Altach	4	0	0	4	-12	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.