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Bundesliga
Referee: D Muckenhammer
St. Polten
S T U T S
2–2
Full-time
Hartberg
S T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Polten Hartberg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
4,2
3,0
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
2,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,3
This season — Bundesliga · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 30%
40%
20%
Points per game
1,4
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
70%
40%
Both score Ø 60%
40%
80%
Average goals
3,9
3,2
Scored
2,1
1,1
Conceded
1,8
2,1
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

44% Possession 56%
9 Shots 19
5 Shots on target 7
1 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 5
4 Offside 4
19 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St. Polten 5. · Hartberg 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 LASK 10 7 2 1 +16 23
2 Salzburg 10 7 1 2 +23 22
3 SK Rapid 10 6 3 1 +11 21
4 Sturm Graz 9 5 3 1 +11 18
5 St. Polten 10 4 2 4 +3 14
6 Tirol 10 4 2 4 +0 14
7 Wolfsberger AC 9 3 1 5 -4 10
8 Austria Vienna 10 2 4 4 -5 10
9 Ried 10 3 1 6 -10 10
10 Hartberg 10 2 4 4 -10 10
11 Admira 10 2 1 7 -17 7
12 Altach 10 1 2 7 -18 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St. Polten Hartberg
16′
🟨 Thomas Rotter
1–0 A. Schmidt
17′
2–0 R. Ljubičić
P. Pokorný
25′
29′
R. Rep 2–1
S. Horvath
Half-time 2–1
D. Luxbacher 🔁
↦ C. Halper
46′
G. Davies 🔁
↦ N. Meister
63′
Daniel Luxbacher 🟨
68′
68′
🔁 S. Chabbi
↦ J. Ertlthaler
Peter Pokorný 🟨
73′
D. Schütz 🔁
↦ P. Pokorný
76′
L. Grozurek 🔁
↦ A. Schmidt
77′
78′
🔁 S. Tijani
↦ A. Lienhart
M. Maranda 🔁
↦ M. Steinwender
80′
82′
🟨 Jurgen Heil
84′
T. Rotter 2–2
S. Horvath
93′
🔁 E. Igbonekwu
↦ S. Horvath
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

St. Polten

4-3-3
1 C. Riegler G
21 K. Schulz D
14 M. Blauensteiner D
17 A. Muhamedbegovic D
4 M. Steinwender D
6 P. Pokorný M
39 R. Ljubičić M
19 D. Hugi F
22 C. Halper M
9 A. Schmidt F
7 N. Meister F
Bench (7)
10 D. Luxbacher
11 G. Davies
20 D. Schütz
24 L. Grozurek
5 M. Maranda
16 M. Majnovics
23 K. Kretschmer

Coach: R. Ibertsberger

Hartberg

4-2-3-1
1 R. Swete G
6 A. Lienhart D
5 M. Gollner D
31 T. Rotter D
23 T. Kainz M
32 F. Luckeneder D
29 S. Horvath M
7 J. Ertlthaler M
28 J. Heil M
24 D. Tadić F
9 R. Rep M
Bench (7)
45 S. Chabbi
8 S. Tijani
34 E. Igbonekwu
39 S. Gölles
17 A. Yoda
4 M. Huber
35 R. Sallinger

Coach: M. Schopp

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Muckenhammer · 31 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.