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Super League
Referee: S Koubarakis
Larisa
T T S S S
0–0
Full-time
AEK
T S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Larisa AEK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/5 matches
Win Ø 55%
50%
60%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
50%
60%
Both score Ø 55%
50%
60%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,6
This season — Super League · 6/5 matches
Win Ø 55%
50%
60%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
50%
60%
Both score Ø 55%
50%
60%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

3 Shots 5
1 Shots on target 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 22
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Larisa 6. · AEK 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Xanthi 6 5 0 1 +3 15
2 Olympiakos 5 4 1 0 +9 13
3 PAOK 6 3 3 0 +3 12
4 Volos NFC 6 4 0 2 -3 12
5 OFI Crete 6 3 2 1 +5 11
6 Larisa 6 3 1 2 +3 10
7 AEK 5 3 1 1 +3 10
8 Aris 5 1 2 2 +2 5
9 Aris Thessalonikis 5 1 2 2 +2 5
10 Atromitos 5 1 2 2 +0 5
11 Panathinaikos 7 1 2 4 -10 5
12 Panionios 5 1 1 3 -2 4
13 Asteras Tripolis 5 1 0 4 -4 3
14 Lamia 5 0 3 2 -4 3
15 Panetolikos 5 0 0 5 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Larisa AEK
Adnan Šećerović 🟨
2′
6′
🟨 Marko Livaja
7′
🟨 Ognjen Vranješ
Ergys Kaçe 🟨
15′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 M. Deletić
↦ Nélson Oliveira
50′
🟨 Paulinho
M. Nunič 🔁
↦ A. Dauda
72′
74′
🔁 Francisco Geraldes
↦ M. Bakakis
77′
🟨 Francisco Geraldes
84′
🔁 M. Oikonomou
↦ P. Mandalos
F. Andoni 🔁
↦ E. Kaçe
85′
Manolis Bertos 🟨
90′
B. Chalkiadakis 🔁
↦ R. Milosavljević
92′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Larisa

3-5-2
1 Ö. Kristinsson G
18 V. Moras D
25 M. Bertos D
5 A. Michail D
88 N. Stanković D
28 S. Bralić D
26 E. Kaçe M
7 Amr Warda F
9 A. Dauda F
22 A. Šećerović M
8 R. Milosavljević M
Bench (7)
33 M. Nunič
64 F. Andoni
12 B. Chalkiadakis
20 N. Karanikas
30 S. Živković
39 A. Gojković
99 B. Ristić

Coach: M. Grigoriou

AEK

3-5-2
1 V. Barkas G
19 D. Chygrynskiy D
23 N. Hult D
21 O. Vranješ D
27 Paulinho D
2 M. Bakakis D
20 P. Mandalos M
8 André Simões M
25 K. Galanopoulos M
18 Nélson Oliveira F
10 M. Livaja F
Bench (7)
11 M. Deletić
12 Francisco Geraldes
4 M. Oikonomou
7 D. Verde
3 Hélder Lopes
16 P. Tsintotas
6 N. Krstičić

Coach: N. Kostenoglou

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,14
U ✓
3,22
B
1,91
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,34
U2,5 ✓
1,56
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Koubarakis · 19 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
34,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.