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Super League
AEK
S T S S S
2–1
Full-time
Aris
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK Aris
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,3
2,2
Scored
2,2
1,7
Conceded
1,2
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,2
This season — Super League · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 64%
71%
57%
Points per game
2,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
71%
29%
Both score Ø 36%
43%
29%
Average goals
3,3
1,9
Scored
2,3
1,4
Conceded
1,0
0,4
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

5 Shots 17
3 Shots on target 9
0 Corners 13
21 Free kicks against 14
5 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match AEK 2. · Aris 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 8 6 2 0 +9 20
2 AEK 7 5 1 1 +9 16
3 PAOK 8 5 1 2 +7 16
4 Aris Thessalonikis 7 4 2 1 +7 14
5 Aris 7 4 2 1 +7 14
6 Volos NFC 7 4 1 2 +1 13
7 Panathinaikos 9 3 2 4 +7 11
8 Ionikos 8 3 2 3 -3 11
9 OFI Crete 9 1 7 1 -1 10
10 Giannina 7 2 3 2 +0 9
11 Asteras Tripolis 7 2 2 3 -2 8
12 Lamia 9 1 3 5 -4 6
13 Apollon 9 1 3 5 -12 6
14 Panetolikos 9 1 2 6 -12 5
15 Atromitos 9 0 3 6 -13 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,86
U
3,40
B
4,09
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,15
U2,5
1,66
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.