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Super League
Referee: A Tzilos
Panathinaikos
T S T T T
4–0
Full-time
OFI Crete
U T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panathinaikos OFI Crete
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
1,8
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 50%
69%
31%
Points per game
2,2
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
69%
38%
Both score Ø 47%
31%
62%
Average goals
3,2
2,5
Scored
2,5
1,2
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,7
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

63% Possession 37%
17 Shots 6
7 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 3
1 Offside 3
19 Free kicks against 23
1 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Panathinaikos 2. · OFI Crete 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 14 10 2 2 +24 32
2 Panathinaikos 13 9 1 3 +22 28
3 PAOK 13 8 3 2 +16 27
4 AEK 12 8 3 1 +13 27
5 Aris Thessalonikis 12 6 2 4 +4 20
6 Aris 12 6 2 4 +4 20
7 Lamia 13 5 4 4 -5 19
8 OFI Crete 13 4 6 3 -1 18
9 Asteras Tripolis 14 5 2 7 -6 17
10 Atromitos 14 3 6 5 -8 15
11 Panserraikos 14 3 4 7 -12 13
12 Volos NFC 14 2 5 7 -12 11
13 Kifisia 14 1 6 7 -14 9
14 Panetolikos 14 2 3 9 -15 9
15 Giannina 14 1 5 8 -10 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Panathinaikos OFI Crete
1–0 F. Ioannidis
34′
40′
🔁 A. Karo
↦ T. Pasalidis
44′
🟨 Leroy Abanda
Half-time 1–0
47′
🟨 Nouha Dicko
48′
🟨 Andreas Karo
49′
🟨 Miguel Mellado
2–0 Aitor Cantalapiedra
S. Palacios
61′
D. Mancini 🔁
↦ Aitor Cantalapiedra
64′
Bernard 🔁
↦ F. Đuričić
64′
66′
🔁 Jon Toral
↦ F. Gallegos
66′
🔁 Adrián Riera
↦ N. Dicko
66′
🔁 E. Larsson
↦ N. Marinakis
3–0 S. Palacios
F. Ioannidis
69′
Juankar 🔁
↦ F. Mladenović
70′
73′
🟨 Praxitelis Vouros
77′
🟨 Eric Larsson
B. Verbič 🔁
↦ S. Palacios
78′
Zeca 🔁
↦ Rubén Pérez
78′
78′
🔁 J. Neira
↦ M. Mellado
Benjamin Verbič 🟨
83′
4–0 F. Ioannidis
91′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Panathinaikos

4-2-3-1
12 Y. Lodygin G
2 G. Vagiannidis D
5 B. Schenkeveld D
55 Willian Arão D
25 F. Mladenović D
4 Rubén Pérez M
52 T. Vilhena M
34 S. Palacios M
31 F. Đuričić M
22 Aitor Cantalapiedra M
7 F. Ioannidis F
Bench (9)
17 D. Mancini
10 Bernard
3 Juankar
77 B. Verbič
6 Zeca
9 A. Šporar
91 A. Brignoli
27 G. Kotsiras
16 A. Čerin

Coach: I. Jovanović

OFI Crete

5-3-2
33 N. Baumann G
6 N. Marinakis D
14 P. Vouros D
4 T. Pasalidis D
22 G. Þórarinsson D
99 L. Abanda D
29 M. Mellado M
8 F. Gallegos M
55 D. Glazer M
11 N. Dicko F
28 Luiz Phellype F
Bench (9)
16 A. Karo
21 Jon Toral
23 Adrián Riera
2 E. Larsson
10 J. Neira
24 V. Lampropoulos
31 N. Christogeorgos
45 G. Apostolakis
18 K. Giannoulis

Coach: V. Dambrauskas

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,23
U
5,87
B
11,40
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,61
U2,5
2,25
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Tzilos · 31 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
30,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.