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Europa League
Referee: I Kružliak
Villarreal
T S T S S
3–2
Full-time
Panathinaikos
S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Villarreal Panathinaikos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
4,0
2,8
Scored
2,5
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 3/4 matches
Win Ø 46%
67%
25%
Points per game
2,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,68 xG 2,15
55% Possession 45%
11 Shots 10
9 Shots on target 3
0 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
3 Corners 3
1 Offside 4
16 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

21. Sep -23 Panathinaikos – Villarreal 2–0

Match report

Villarreal Panathinaikos
1–0 Álex Baena ⚽
Ilias Akhomach
29′
2–0 Santi Comesaña ⚽
José Luis Morales
34′
Half-time 2–0
M. Gabbia 🔁
↦ Raúl Albiol
46′
3–0 José Luis Morales ⚽
Álex Baena
47′
60′
ℹ️ Aitor Cantalapiedra
VAR: Goal cancelled
60′
🔁 F. Ioannidis
↦ A. Šporar
60′
🔁 F. Đuričić
↦ Bernard
64′
ℹ️ Aitor Cantalapiedra
VAR: Penalty confirmed
66′
⚽ S. Palacios 3–1
B. Brereton 🔁
↦ José Luis Morales
68′
Gerard Moreno 🔁
↦ Álex Baena
68′
Ilias Akhomach 🟨
71′
75′
🔁 T. Vilhena
↦ A. Čerin
Alfonso Pedraza 🔁
↦ Manu Trigueros
77′
Adrià Alti 🔁
↦ J. Foyth
78′
81′
⚽ F. Ioannidis 3–2
T. Vilhena
87′
🔁 Juankar
↦ F. Mladenović
88′
🔁 D. Mancini
↦ S. Palacios
Santi Comesaña 🟨
89′
98′
🟨 Rubén Pérez
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Villarreal

4-4-2
1 Pepe Reina G
8 J. Foyth D
3 Raúl Albiol D
5 Jorge Cuenca D
18 Alberto Moreno D
27 Ilias Akhomach M
4 Santi Comesaña M
10 Dani Parejo M
14 Manu Trigueros M
16 Álex Baena F
15 José Luis Morales F
Bench (11)
2 M. Gabbia
9 B. Brereton
7 Gerard Moreno
24 Alfonso Pedraza
26 Adrià Alti
6 É. Capoue
13 F. Jørgensen
17 Kiko Femenía
20 Ramon Terrats
30 Jorge Pascual
39 Espigares

Coach: Marcelino

Panathinaikos

4-2-3-1
91 A. Brignoli G
2 G. Vagiannidis D
5 B. Schenkeveld D
55 Willian Arão D
25 F. Mladenović D
16 A. Čerin M
4 Rubén Pérez M
34 S. Palacios M
10 Bernard M
22 Aitor Cantalapiedra M
9 A. Šporar F
Bench (9)
7 F. Ioannidis
31 F. Đuričić
52 T. Vilhena
3 Juankar
17 D. Mancini
27 G. Kotsiras
15 V. Xenopoulos
21 T. Jedvaj
12 Y. Lodygin

Coach: I. Jovanović

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

I Kružliak · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.