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Super League

Referee: A Lindhout

PAOK

T T U S S

4–1

Full-time

Panathinaikos

S S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PAOK Panathinaikos

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

2,5

2,7

Scored

1,2

1,7

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 37/38 matches

Win Ø 63%

62%

63%

Points per game

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

65%

63%

Both score Ø 45%

51%

39%

Average goals

3,2

3,1

Scored

2,2

Conceded

0,9

Goal diff per game

+1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

27% Possession 73%

11 Shots 6

6 Shots on target 3

0 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 2

1 Offside 0

18 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match PAOK 4. · Panathinaikos 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AEK	38	25	10	3	+48	85
2	Olympiakos	38	25	5	8	+47	80
3	Panathinaikos	38	24	5	9	+49	77
4	PAOK	37	23	6	8	+47	75
5	Aris Thessalonikis	35	16	7	12	+8	55
6	Aris	35	16	7	12	+8	55
7	Asteras Tripolis	35	12	5	18	-15	41
8	Panserraikos	35	9	12	14	-17	39
9	Lamia	39	10	9	20	-36	39
10	OFI Crete	35	8	14	13	-14	38
11	Atromitos	35	8	13	14	-17	37
12	Panetolikos	35	9	9	17	-20	36
13	Volos NFC	35	8	10	17	-23	34
14	Kifisia	35	5	12	18	-34	27
15	Giannina	35	4	12	19	-31	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AEK	19	15	4	0	+32	49
2	Olympiakos	19	15	0	4	+34	45
3	PAOK	19	13	3	3	+27	42
4	Panathinaikos	19	12	3	4	+27	39
5	Aris Thessalonikis	17	9	4	4	+9	31
6	Aris	17	9	4	4	+9	31
7	OFI Crete	18	8	6	4	+9	30
8	Panserraikos	18	7	8	3	+4	29
9	Lamia	20	7	3	10	-16	24
10	Atromitos	18	5	7	6	-5	22
11	Asteras Tripolis	18	6	4	8	-8	22
12	Panetolikos	17	6	3	8	-8	21
13	Volos NFC	17	5	4	8	-7	19
14	Giannina	17	2	8	7	-9	14
15	Kifisia	17	2	7	8	-11	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Panathinaikos	19	12	2	5	+22	38
2	AEK	19	10	6	3	+16	36
3	Olympiakos	19	10	5	4	+13	35
4	PAOK	18	10	3	5	+20	33
5	Aris Thessalonikis	18	7	3	8	-1	24
6	Aris	18	7	3	8	-1	24
7	Asteras Tripolis	17	6	1	10	-7	19
8	Atromitos	17	3	6	8	-12	15
9	Panetolikos	18	3	6	9	-12	15
10	Volos NFC	18	3	6	9	-16	15
11	Lamia	19	3	6	10	-20	15
12	Kifisia	18	3	5	10	-23	14
13	Panserraikos	17	2	4	11	-21	10
14	Giannina	18	2	4	12	-22	10
15	OFI Crete	17	0	8	9	-23	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.