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Super League

Referee: R Schröder

PAOK

U T T T U

3–2

Full-time

AEK

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PAOK AEK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

17%

83%

Points per game

0,8

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,8

Scored

1,2

2,2

Conceded

1,5

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 35/37 matches

Win Ø 64%

60%

68%

Points per game

2,0

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

66%

68%

Both score Ø 53%

51%

54%

Average goals

3,1

3,2

Scored

2,2

Conceded

0,9

Goal diff per game

+1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

49% Possession 51%

8 Shots 11

5 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

13 Corners 4

0 Offside 2

16 Free kicks against 17

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match PAOK 4. · AEK 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AEK	37	25	10	2	+49	85
2	Olympiakos	37	25	5	7	+49	80
3	Panathinaikos	36	24	5	7	+51	77
4	PAOK	35	21	6	8	+44	69
5	Aris Thessalonikis	33	14	7	12	+5	49
6	Aris	33	14	7	12	+5	49
7	Lamia	37	10	9	18	-32	39
8	OFI Crete	34	8	14	12	-13	38
9	Asteras Tripolis	34	11	5	18	-16	38
10	Atromitos	34	8	13	13	-16	37
11	Panserraikos	34	8	12	14	-19	36
12	Panetolikos	34	8	9	17	-21	33
13	Volos NFC	34	8	9	17	-23	33
14	Kifisia	34	5	12	17	-32	27
15	Giannina	34	4	11	19	-31	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AEK	19	15	4	0	+32	49
2	Olympiakos	19	15	0	4	+34	45
3	Panathinaikos	17	12	3	2	+29	39
4	PAOK	17	11	3	3	+24	36
5	Aris Thessalonikis	17	9	4	4	+9	31
6	Aris	17	9	4	4	+9	31
7	OFI Crete	17	8	6	3	+10	30
8	Panserraikos	17	6	8	3	+2	26
9	Lamia	18	7	3	8	-12	24
10	Atromitos	17	5	7	5	-4	22
11	Asteras Tripolis	18	6	4	8	-8	22
12	Panetolikos	17	6	3	8	-8	21
13	Volos NFC	17	5	4	8	-7	19
14	Giannina	16	2	7	7	-9	13
15	Kifisia	17	2	7	8	-11	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Panathinaikos	19	12	2	5	+22	38
2	AEK	18	10	6	2	+17	36
3	Olympiakos	18	10	5	3	+15	35
4	PAOK	18	10	3	5	+20	33
5	Aris Thessalonikis	16	5	3	8	-4	18
6	Aris	16	5	3	8	-4	18
7	Asteras Tripolis	16	5	1	10	-8	16
8	Atromitos	17	3	6	8	-12	15
9	Lamia	19	3	6	10	-20	15
10	Volos NFC	17	3	5	9	-16	14
11	Kifisia	17	3	5	9	-21	14
12	Panetolikos	17	2	6	9	-13	12
13	Panserraikos	17	2	4	11	-21	10
14	Giannina	18	2	4	12	-22	10
15	OFI Crete	17	0	8	9	-23	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.