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Super League
Referee: A Papapetrou
AEK
U S S U S
3–0
Full-time
OFI Crete
T T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK OFI Crete
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
2,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
100%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,8
2,0
Scored
2,7
0,5
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-1,0
This season — Super League · 20/21 matches
Win Ø 45%
65%
24%
Points per game
2,3
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
60%
33%
Both score Ø 49%
50%
48%
Average goals
2,8
2,4
Scored
2,0
0,9
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

53% Possession 47%
19 Shots 9
8 Shots on target 2
8 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
13 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
21 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match AEK 3. · OFI Crete 10. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PAOK 21 14 3 4 +38 45
2 Olympiakos 21 14 3 4 +26 45
3 AEK 20 13 6 1 +24 45
4 Panathinaikos 20 14 2 4 +33 44
5 Aris Thessalonikis 20 10 3 7 +8 33
6 Aris 20 10 3 7 +8 33
7 Lamia 22 8 7 7 -6 31
8 Asteras Tripolis 21 9 2 10 -7 29
9 Atromitos 20 6 8 6 -8 26
10 OFI Crete 21 5 8 8 -12 23
11 Panserraikos 21 5 7 9 -10 22
12 Volos NFC 21 3 6 12 -23 15
13 Panetolikos 22 3 5 14 -25 14
14 Kifisia 22 2 7 13 -27 13
15 Giannina 20 2 6 12 -19 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

2. Oct -23 OFI Crete – AEK 2–0 5. Mar -23 OFI Crete – AEK 0–3 9. Nov -22 AEK – OFI Crete 3–0 20. Dec -21 AEK – OFI Crete 1–2 19. Sep -21 OFI Crete – AEK 3–3

Match report

AEK OFI Crete
1–0 E. Ponce ⚽
S. Zuber
28′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🟨 Adrián Riera
46′
🔁 Adrián Riera
↦ L. Abanda
65′
🔁 N. Dicko
↦ M. Baku
2–0 E. Ponce ⚽
67′
S. Araújo 🔁
↦ S. Zuber
74′
74′
🔁 G. Theodosoulakis
↦ Luiz Phellype
Paolo Fernandes 🔁
↦ N. Amrabat
75′
P. Mantalos 🔁
↦ O. Pineda
75′
N. Eliasson 🔁
↦ M. Gaćinović
75′
77′
🔁 M. Mellado
↦ D. Glazer
77′
🔁 G. Apostolakis
↦ M. Bakić
Stavros Pilios 🟨
78′
Petros Mantalos 🟨
82′
T. van Weert 🔁
↦ E. Ponce
85′
Niclas Eliasson ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
94′
3–0 T. van Weert ⚽
96′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

AEK

4-2-3-1
1 C. Stanković G
37 V. Radonja D
21 D. Vida D
18 A. Callens D
17 S. Pilios D
13 O. Pineda M
6 J. Jønsson M
5 N. Amrabat M
10 S. Zuber M
8 M. Gaćinović M
14 E. Ponce F
Bench (9)
11 S. Araújo
22 Paolo Fernandes
20 P. Mantalos
19 N. Eliasson
9 T. van Weert
24 G. Mitoglou
70 R. Pizarro
99 G. Theocharis
29 D. Sidibé

Coach: M. Almeyda

OFI Crete

4-2-3-1
32 D. Sotiriou G
2 E. Larsson D
5 Bressan D
24 V. Lampropoulos D
22 G. Þórarinsson D
55 D. Glazer M
8 F. Gallegos M
7 M. Baku M
88 M. Bakić M
99 L. Abanda M
28 Luiz Phellype F
Bench (9)
23 Adrián Riera
11 N. Dicko
46 G. Theodosoulakis
29 M. Mellado
45 G. Apostolakis
31 N. Christogeorgos
18 K. Giannoulis
4 T. Pasalidis
6 N. Marinakis

Coach: Pepe Mel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,26
🔒
U
5,64
🔒
B
9,55
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,50
🔒
U2,5
2,49
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Papapetrou · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.