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Super League
Referee: S Tsimenteridis
OFI Crete
S T U U T
1–2
Full-time
AEK
S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

OFI Crete AEK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
0,8
2,2
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,3
This season — Super League · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 47%
36%
57%
Points per game
1,4
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
64%
43%
Both score Ø 46%
71%
21%
Average goals
3,1
2,4
Scored
1,4
1,8
Conceded
1,7
0,6
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

20% Possession 80%
3 Shots 16
3 Shots on target 6
0 Blocked shots 7
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
0 Corners 14
11 Free kicks against 13
5 Yellow cards 5
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match OFI Crete 9. · AEK 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 15 9 3 3 +15 30
2 AEK 14 8 3 3 +17 27
3 PAOK 15 8 3 4 +10 27
4 Panathinaikos 14 6 6 2 +4 24
5 Aris Thessalonikis 14 7 3 4 +3 24
6 Aris 14 7 3 4 +3 24
7 Panetolikos 14 6 4 4 +4 22
8 Atromitos 16 5 4 7 -1 19
9 OFI Crete 14 5 4 5 -4 19
10 Asteras Tripolis 14 4 5 5 +0 17
11 Volos NFC 15 5 2 8 -10 17
12 Panserraikos 15 5 1 9 -9 16
13 Levadeiakos 14 1 7 6 -10 10
14 Lamia 14 1 6 7 -11 9
15 Athens Kallithea 14 0 8 6 -11 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

OFI Crete AEK
16′
🔁 M. Odubajo
↦ L. Rota
Thiago Nuss ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
20′
Thiago Nuss 🟥
21′
1–0 Z. Karachalios
36′
39′
🔁 É. Lamela
↦ D. Vida
Half-time 1–0
47′
🟨 Harold Moukoudi
48′
🟨 Erik Lamela
51′
H. Moukoudi 1–1
É. Lamela
56′
🟨 Thomas Strakosha
Andrew Jung 🟨
57′
57′
🟨 Damian Szymański
G. Christopoulos 🔁
↦ Bressan
57′
Juan Angel Neira 🟨
65′
G. Apostolakis 🔁
↦ J. Neira
66′
72′
🔁 G. Mitoglou
↦ H. Moukoudi
72′
🔁 P. Mantalos
↦ S. Pilios
72′
🔁 F. Pierrot
↦ Paolo Fernandes
Marko Bakić 🟨
80′
Leroy Abanda 🟨
85′
87′
A. Martial 1–2
L. García
Zisis Karachalios 🟨
92′
94′
🟨 Petros Mantalos
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

OFI Crete

4-2-3-1
31 N. Christogeorgos G
17 Borja González D
30 J. Silva D
5 Bressan D
99 L. Abanda D
6 Z. Karachalios M
88 M. Bakić M
27 L. Shengelia M
10 J. Neira M
18 T. Nuss M
29 A. Jung F
Bench (9)
22 G. Christopoulos
45 G. Apostolakis
46 G. Theodosoulakis
7 Adrián Riera
1 D. Naumov
80 T. Koutentakis
70 M. Faitakis
4 N. Marinakis
24 V. Lampropoulos

Coach: M. Rastavac

AEK

4-1-4-1
1 T. Strakosha G
12 L. Rota D
21 D. Vida D
2 H. Moukoudi D
3 S. Pilios D
4 D. Szymański M
22 Paolo Fernandes M
13 O. Pineda M
23 R. Ljubičić M
26 A. Martial M
7 L. García F
Bench (9)
29 M. Odubajo
9 É. Lamela
24 G. Mitoglou
20 P. Mantalos
14 F. Pierrot
19 N. Eliasson
11 A. Koïta
91 A. Brignoli
37 R. Pereyra

Coach: M. Almeyda

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
6,76
U
4,49
B ✓
1,42
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,75
U2,5
2,03
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Tsimenteridis · 26 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
30,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.