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Premiership
Referee: N Walsh
Motherwell
T U T S U
1–3
Full-time
Rangers
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motherwell Rangers
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,0
This season — Premiership · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 50%
30%
70%
Points per game
1,2
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
42%
52%
Both score Ø 52%
55%
48%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,2
2,0
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

48% Possession 52%
8 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 2
2 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Motherwell 6. · Rangers 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 33 26 4 3 +59 82
2 Rangers 33 23 7 3 +40 76
3 Hearts 33 16 9 8 +15 57
4 Dundee United 33 10 11 12 -6 41
5 Ross County 33 10 10 13 -7 40
6 Motherwell 33 10 10 13 -12 40
7 Hibernian 33 9 11 13 -6 38
8 Livingston 33 10 8 15 -8 38
9 Aberdeen 33 9 9 15 -4 36
10 St Mirren 33 8 12 13 -20 36
11 ST Johnstone 33 7 9 17 -23 30
12 Dundee 33 5 10 18 -28 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Motherwell Rangers
14′
L. Kelly 1–0
own goal
28′
🟥 Leon Balogun
30′
🔁 C. Bassey
↦ A. Diallo
Juhani Ojala 🟨
31′
2–0 R. Tierney
J. Carroll
35′
45′
🟨 Scott Arfield
Half-time 2–1
47′
S. Wright 2–1
F. Sakala
Callum Slattery 🟨
60′
Bevis Mugabi 🟨
61′
62′
J. Tavernier 2–2
K. Woolery 🔁
↦ S. Goss
68′
M. O'Hara 🔁
↦ B. Mugabi
68′
68′
🔁 J. Ayodele-Aribo
↦ G. Kamara
68′
🔁 J. Sands
↦ S. Arfield
J. Amaluzor 🔁
↦ J. Efford
73′
86′
🔁 C. Itten
↦ S. Wright
86′
🔁 L. King
↦ S. Davis
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Motherwell

4-3-1-2
1 L. Kelly G
14 J. Ojala D
3 J. Carroll D
4 R. Lamie D
5 B. Mugabi D
27 S. Goss M
16 C. Slattery M
26 R. Tierney M
18 D. Cornelius M
29 C. Shields F
20 J. Efford F
Bench (9)
7 K. Woolery
8 M. O'Hara
17 J. Amaluzor
12 S. Fox
11 L. Shaw
23 L. Grimshaw
41 M. Connolly
22 L. Donnelly
32 V. Nirennold

Coach: G. Alexander

Rangers

4-2-3-1
1 A. McGregor G
26 L. Balogun D
2 J. Tavernier D
6 C. Goldson D
31 B. Barišić D
10 S. Davis M
37 S. Arfield M
18 G. Kamara M
23 S. Wright M
30 F. Sakala F
9 A. Diallo M
Bench (9)
3 C. Bassey
17 J. Ayodele-Aribo
19 J. Sands
11 C. Itten
43 L. King
8 R. Jack
4 J. Lundstram
14 R. Kent
25 J. McLaughlin

Coach: G. van Bronckhorst

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
9,59
U
5,04
B ✓
1,32
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,72
U2,5
2,09
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

N Walsh · 171 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.