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Premiership
Referee: A Muir
Kilmarnock
T S T T T
2–1
Full-time
ST Johnstone
T T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kilmarnock ST Johnstone
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
0,5
1,2
Conceded
2,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,7
-0,3
This season — Premiership · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 26%
13%
38%
Points per game
0,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 51%
38%
63%
Both score Ø 38%
38%
38%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
0,5
1,1
Conceded
2,0
1,4
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

41% Possession 59%
11 Shots 15
2 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 0
5 Corners 5
4 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 16
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kilmarnock 11. · ST Johnstone 9. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 8 7 0 1 +23 21
2 Rangers 8 6 1 1 +12 19
3 St Mirren 8 5 0 3 +1 15
4 Hibernian 8 4 2 2 +4 14
5 Aberdeen 8 4 1 3 +7 13
6 Motherwell 9 4 1 4 +2 13
7 Hearts 8 4 1 3 +1 13
8 Livingston 8 4 0 4 -4 12
9 ST Johnstone 8 3 1 4 -2 10
10 Ross County 9 1 2 6 -14 5
11 Kilmarnock 8 1 1 6 -12 4
12 Dundee United 8 0 2 6 -18 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

30. Jan -21 Kilmarnock – ST Johnstone 2–3 6. Nov -20 ST Johnstone – Kilmarnock 1–0 15. Aug -20 Kilmarnock – ST Johnstone 1–2 25. Jan -20 ST Johnstone – Kilmarnock 2–1 4. Dec -19 Kilmarnock – ST Johnstone 0–0

Match report

Kilmarnock ST Johnstone
1–0 D. Armstrong ⚽
11′
34′
🟨 Liam Gordon
Half-time 2–0
2–0 D. Armstrong ⚽
46′
52′
🟨 Alex Mitchell
57′
🔁 T. Gallacher
↦ A. Mitchell
57′
🔁 J. Murphy
↦ S. May
63′
🟨 Ryan McGowan
C. Doidge 🔁
↦ K. Lafferty
65′
B. Lyons 🔁
↦ B. Alston
65′
72′
🔁 M. Kucheryavyi
↦ A. Crawford
72′
🔁 T. Bair
↦ D. Wright
O. Shaw 🔁
↦ Jordan Jones
77′
80′
🔁 M. O'Halloran
↦ R. McGowan
J. Wright 🔁
↦ D. Armstrong
89′
91′
⚽ T. Bair 2–1
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Kilmarnock

4-2-3-1
1 Z. Hemming G
2 L. Mayo D
5 A. Taylor D
6 C. Stokes D
33 B. Chrisene D
4 A. Power M
8 B. Alston M
11 D. Armstrong M
7 R. McKenzie M
10 Jordan Jones M
28 K. Lafferty F
Bench (9)
26 C. Doidge
17 B. Lyons
9 O. Shaw
19 J. Wright
21 K. McInroy
27 I. Cameron
32 S. Warnock
20 S. Walker
31 L. Polworth

Coach: D. McInnes

ST Johnstone

5-3-2
1 R. Matthews G
14 D. Wright D
5 A. Mitchell D
6 L. Gordon D
4 A. Considine D
2 J. Brown D
22 M. Hallberg M
13 R. McGowan M
21 A. Crawford M
7 S. May F
37 N. Clark F
Bench (9)
3 T. Gallacher
29 J. Murphy
27 M. Kucheryavyi
17 T. Bair
11 M. O'Halloran
26 C. McLennan
10 D. Wotherspoon
12 E. Parish
16 J. Mahon

Coach: C. Davidson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,25
🔒
U
3,14
🔒
B
3,38
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,34
🔒
U2,5
1,58
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Muir · 65 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.