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Premiership
Referee: D Munro
Ross County
T T T T T
1–0
Full-time
Kilmarnock
T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ross County Kilmarnock
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
0,7
0,8
Conceded
2,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-1,2
This season — Premiership · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
0,7
0,3
Conceded
2,0
2,7
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-2,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%
8 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
1 Corners 7
5 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 16
5 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ross County 12. · Kilmarnock 11. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 4 3 1 0 +7 10
2 Celtic 3 3 0 0 +9 9
3 Hearts 3 2 1 0 +4 7
4 Motherwell 3 2 0 1 +1 6
5 Livingston 3 2 0 1 +1 6
6 Hibernian 4 1 2 1 +0 5
7 Aberdeen 3 1 0 2 +0 3
8 St Mirren 3 1 0 2 -3 3
9 ST Johnstone 3 1 0 2 -4 3
10 Dundee United 3 0 1 2 -4 1
11 Kilmarnock 3 0 1 2 -7 1
12 Ross County 3 0 0 3 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

10. Apr -21 Kilmarnock – Ross County 2–2 6. Mar -21 Ross County – Kilmarnock 3–2 21. Nov -20 Kilmarnock – Ross County 3–1 12. Aug -20 Ross County – Kilmarnock 2–2 1. Feb -20 Kilmarnock – Ross County 3–1

Match report

Ross County Kilmarnock
Ross Callachan 🟨
38′
41′
🟨 Kyle Lafferty
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 I. Cameron
↦ K. Lafferty
J. White 🔁
↦ J. Hiwula-Mayifuila
57′
O. Edwards 🔁
↦ J. Sims
57′
61′
🟨 Oli Shaw
Jack Baldwin 🟨
62′
74′
🔁 D. Sotona
↦ O. Shaw
David Cancola 🟨
78′
Ross Callachan 🟨
81′
Ross Callachan 🟥
81′
J. Tillson 🔁
↦ K. Olaigbe
82′
83′
🟨 Ayodeji Sotona
84′
🔁 L. Donnelly
↦ A. Power
84′
🔁 D. Armstrong
↦ L. Mayo
K. Watson 🔁
↦ Y. Dhanda
85′
1–0 O. Edwards ⚽
86′
88′
🟨 Liam Donnelly
Callum Johnson 🟨
94′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Ross County

4-2-3-1
1 R. Laidlaw G
12 C. Johnson D
5 J. Baldwin D
6 A. Iacovitti D
3 B. Purrington D
8 R. Callachan M
4 D. Cancola M
11 J. Sims M
10 Y. Dhanda M
17 K. Olaigbe M
19 J. Hiwula-Mayifuila F
Bench (9)
26 J. White
7 O. Edwards
22 J. Tillson
15 K. Watson
9 D. Samuel
14 V. Loturi
16 G. Harmon
31 J. Eastwood
24 B. Paton

Coach: M. Mackay

Kilmarnock

3-5-2
20 S. Walker G
19 J. Wright D
5 A. Taylor D
2 L. Mayo D
25 R. Alebiosu M
7 R. McKenzie M
4 A. Power M
31 L. Polworth M
21 K. McInroy M
9 O. Shaw F
28 K. Lafferty F
Bench (9)
27 I. Cameron
23 D. Sotona
22 L. Donnelly
11 D. Armstrong
18 C. Waters
15 F. Murray
8 B. Alston
14 J. Sanders
50 G. Woods

Coach: D. McInnes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,33
🔒
U
3,19
🔒
B
3,13
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
2,24
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,63
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Munro · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.