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Premiership
Referee: C Steven
ST Johnstone
T S T T T
3–0
Full-time
St Mirren
T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

ST Johnstone St Mirren
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
3,0
1,8
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
This season — Premiership · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 40%
20%
60%
Points per game
0,6
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
60%
40%
Both score Ø 30%
40%
20%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%
9 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 9
2 Offside 2
4 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match ST Johnstone 10. · St Mirren 6. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 6 6 0 0 +24 18
2 Rangers 6 4 1 1 +7 13
3 Hearts 5 3 1 1 +3 10
4 Aberdeen 5 3 0 2 +6 9
5 Motherwell 5 3 0 2 +1 9
6 St Mirren 5 3 0 2 +1 9
7 Livingston 5 2 0 3 -5 6
8 Hibernian 5 1 2 2 -1 5
9 Kilmarnock 5 1 1 3 -7 4
10 ST Johnstone 5 1 0 4 -6 3
11 Ross County 5 1 0 4 -7 3
12 Dundee United 5 0 1 4 -16 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

30. Apr -22 ST Johnstone – St Mirren 0–1 9. Feb -22 St Mirren – ST Johnstone 2–1 6. Nov -21 ST Johnstone – St Mirren 0–0 29. Aug -21 St Mirren – ST Johnstone 0–0 16. Jan -21 ST Johnstone – St Mirren 1–0

Match report

ST Johnstone St Mirren
1–0 N. Clark ⚽
S. May
26′
30′
🟨 Charles Dunne
Graham Carey 🟨
33′
Half-time 1–0
58′
🟨 Ethan Erhahon
59′
🔁 E. Brophy
↦ C. Main
59′
🔁 J. Henderson
↦ R. Strain
59′
🔁 S. Tanser
↦ R. Tait
2–0 D. Wright ⚽
A. Montgomery
66′
70′
🔁 A. Greive
↦ E. Erhahon
C. McLennan 🔁
↦ N. Clark
77′
T. Bair 🔁
↦ S. May
77′
D. Phillips 🔁
↦ J. Murphy
77′
82′
🟨 Declan Gallagher
Alex Mitchell 🟨
83′
83′
🟨 Jonah Ayunga
L. Gordon 🔁
↦ M. Hallberg
83′
85′
🟨 Marcus Fraser
3–0 G. Carey ⚽
86′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

ST Johnstone

3-4-2-1
1 R. Matthews G
13 R. McGowan D
5 A. Mitchell D
4 A. Considine D
14 D. Wright M
22 M. Hallberg M
23 G. Carey M
19 A. Montgomery M
37 N. Clark F
29 J. Murphy F
7 S. May F
Bench (9)
26 C. McLennan
17 T. Bair
34 D. Phillips
6 L. Gordon
27 M. Kucheryavyi
2 J. Brown
12 E. Parish
21 A. Crawford
11 M. O'Halloran

Coach: C. Davidson

St Mirren

3-5-2
1 T. Carson G
22 M. Fraser D
31 D. Gallagher D
18 C. Dunne D
23 R. Strain M
17 K. Baccus M
16 E. Erhahon M
6 M. O'Hara M
2 R. Tait M
10 C. Main F
7 J. Ayunga F
Bench (9)
9 E. Brophy
12 J. Henderson
3 S. Tanser
21 A. Greive
13 A. Gogić
4 J. Shaughnessy
27 P. Urminský
11 G. Kiltie
8 R. Flynn

Coach: S. Robinson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,48
🔒
U
3,05
🔒
B
3,03
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,48
🔒
U2,5
1,52
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

C Steven · 58 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.