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Champions League
Referee: M Mariani
Sevilla
T S U U T
1–4
Full-time
Dortmund
S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sevilla Dortmund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,0
This season — Champions League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
0,0
2,0
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

59% Possession 41%
20 Shots 19
6 Shots on target 7
4 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 12
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Sevilla Dortmund
Nemanja Gudelj 🟨
3′
6′
⚽ Raphaël Guerreiro 0–1
J. Bellingham
Youssef En-Nesyri 🟥
VAR: Red card cancelled
21′
41′
⚽ J. Bellingham 0–2
S. Özcan
43′
⚽ K. Adeyemi 0–3
Half-time 0–3
E. Lamela 🔁
↦ Suso
46′
G. Montiel 🔁
↦ Jesús Navas
46′
1–3 Y. En-Nesyri ⚽
Alex Telles
51′
T. Delaney 🔁
↦ I. Rakitić
62′
P. Gómez 🔁
↦ Isco
62′
64′
🔁 D. Malen
↦ K. Adeyemi
Erik Lamela 🟨
68′
69′
🟨 Salih Özcan
75′
⚽ J. Brandt 1–4
Y. Moukoko
K. Dolberg 🔁
↦ Joan Jordán
77′
80′
🔁 A. Modeste
↦ Y. Moukoko
80′
🔁 T. Rothe
↦ Raphaël Guerreiro
85′
🔁 A. Papadopoulos
↦ S. Özcan
85′
🔁 T. Hazard
↦ J. Brandt
Kike Salas 🟨
91′
Gonzalo Montiel 🟨
94′
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Sevilla

3-4-2-1
13 Y. Bounou G
30 José Ángel Carmona D
6 N. Gudelj D
29 Kike Salas D
16 Jesús Navas M
8 Joan Jordán M
10 I. Rakitić M
3 Alex Telles M
7 Suso F
22 Isco F
15 Y. En-Nesyri F
Bench (11)
17 E. Lamela
2 G. Montiel
18 T. Delaney
24 P. Gómez
5 K. Dolberg
11 A. Januzaj
1 M. Dmitrović
31 Alberto Flores
12 Rafa Mir
14 T. Nianzou
26 Pablo Pérez

Coach: Lopetegui

Dortmund

4-2-3-1
33 A. Meyer G
24 T. Meunier D
25 N. Süle D
4 N. Schlotterbeck D
13 Raphaël Guerreiro D
23 E. Can M
6 S. Özcan M
27 K. Adeyemi M
22 J. Bellingham M
19 J. Brandt M
18 Y. Moukoko F
Bench (9)
21 D. Malen
20 A. Modeste
36 T. Rothe
47 A. Papadopoulos
10 T. Hazard
31 S. Ostrzinski
1 G. Kobel
44 S. Coulibaly
30 F. Passlack

Coach: E. Terzić

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Mariani · 156 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.