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Premiership
Referee: J Beaton
Hearts
U S T T T
3–2
Full-time
ST Johnstone
S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hearts ST Johnstone
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
This season — Premiership · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 38%
50%
25%
Points per game
1,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
75%
25%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
1,8
0,5
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

60% Possession 40%
27 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 5
8 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 4
1 Offside 4
9 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hearts 6. · ST Johnstone 10. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 5 5 0 0 +20 15
2 Rangers 5 4 1 0 +11 13
3 Aberdeen 5 3 0 2 +6 9
4 Motherwell 5 3 0 2 +1 9
5 St Mirren 5 3 0 2 +1 9
6 Hearts 4 2 1 1 +2 7
7 Livingston 5 2 0 3 -5 6
8 Hibernian 5 1 2 2 -1 5
9 Kilmarnock 5 1 1 3 -7 4
10 ST Johnstone 4 1 0 3 -5 3
11 Ross County 5 1 0 4 -7 3
12 Dundee United 5 0 1 4 -16 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

19. Feb -22 ST Johnstone – Hearts 2–1 18. Jan -22 Hearts – ST Johnstone 2–0 27. Oct -21 ST Johnstone – Hearts 1–1 1. Feb -20 ST Johnstone – Hearts 3–3 14. Dec -19 Hearts – ST Johnstone 0–1

Match report

Hearts ST Johnstone
6′
⚽ G. Carey 0–1
15′
🟨 Jamie Murphy
20′
🔁 A. Crawford
↦ M. Hallberg
1–1 K. Rowles ⚽
G. Mackay-Steven
25′
2–1 L. Boyce ⚽
J. Ginnelly
31′
B. McKay 🔁
↦ K. Rowles
35′
45′
🟨 Daniel Phillips
Half-time 2–1
46′
🔁 L. Gordon
↦ D. Phillips
46′
🔁 A. Montgomery
↦ J. Brown
L. Shankland 🔁
↦ L. Boyce
49′
54′
⚽ A. Considine 2–2
S. May
A. Forrest 🔁
↦ G. Mackay-Steven
59′
C. Smith 🔁
↦ N. Atkinson
63′
66′
🟨 Ali Crawford
76′
🔁 T. Bair
↦ S. May
3–2 L. Shankland ⚽
81′
84′
🟨 Andy Considine
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Hearts

1 C. Gordon G
2 M. Smith D
20 L. Neilson D
15 K. Rowles D
12 N. Atkinson M
5 P. Haring M
14 C. Devlin M
16 A. Halliday M
30 J. Ginnelly F
10 L. Boyce F
11 G. Mackay-Steven F
Bench (8)
18 B. McKay
9 L. Shankland
17 A. Forrest
27 C. Smith
31 A. Darge
22 E. Henderson
13 R. Stewart
33 A. Denholm

ST Johnstone

3-4-1-2
1 R. Matthews G
13 R. McGowan D
5 A. Mitchell D
4 A. Considine D
14 D. Wright M
22 M. Hallberg M
34 D. Phillips M
2 J. Brown M
23 G. Carey F
7 S. May F
29 J. Murphy F
Bench (9)
21 A. Crawford
6 L. Gordon
19 A. Montgomery
17 T. Bair
11 M. O'Halloran
27 M. Kucheryavyi
12 E. Parish
25 Cammy Ballantyne
16 J. Mahon

Coach: C. Davidson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,62
🔒
U
3,72
🔒
B
5,73
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,09
🔒
U2,5
1,72
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Beaton · 161 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.