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Premiership
Referee: C Steven
Hibernian
T S T T S
2–2
Full-time
Dundee United
T U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hibernian Dundee United
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
3,7
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
2,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,8
This season — Premiership · 21/20 matches
Win Ø 32%
38%
25%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
57%
55%
Both score Ø 42%
43%
40%
Average goals
3,0
2,9
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

60% Possession 40%
16 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 6
2 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hibernian 7. · Dundee United 11. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 21 19 1 1 +48 58
2 Rangers 21 15 4 2 +28 49
3 Hearts 21 10 5 6 +6 35
4 Livingston 21 9 4 8 -6 31
5 Aberdeen 21 9 2 10 +3 29
6 St Mirren 20 7 6 7 -5 27
7 Hibernian 21 8 2 11 -8 26
8 ST Johnstone 22 7 3 12 -10 24
9 Kilmarnock 21 5 5 11 -18 20
10 Motherwell 20 5 4 11 -6 19
11 Dundee United 20 5 4 11 -12 19
12 Ross County 21 4 4 13 -20 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

11. Oct -22 Dundee United – Hibernian 1–0 2. Apr -22 Hibernian – Dundee United 1–1 26. Dec -21 Dundee United – Hibernian 1–3 16. Oct -21 Hibernian – Dundee United 0–3 30. Jan -21 Dundee United – Hibernian 0–2

Match report

Hibernian Dundee United
6′
⚽ G. Middleton 0–1
S. Fletcher
1–1 K. Nisbet ⚽
J. Campbell
25′
Lewis Stevenson 🟨
26′
30′
⚽ I. Harkes 1–2
K. Freeman
Half-time 1–2
Kyle Magennis 🟨
52′
62′
🟨 Glenn Middleton
H. McKirdy 🔁
↦ W. Fish
64′
J. Doyle-Hayes 🔁
↦ K. Magennis
64′
65′
🟨 Steven Fletcher
83′
🔁 J. McGrath
↦ S. Fletcher
E. Melkersen 🔁
↦ A. McGeady
85′
87′
🔁 P. Pawlett
↦ C. Sibbald
90′
🟨 Peter Pawlett
2–2 K. Nisbet ⚽
J. Newell
92′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Hibernian

4-1-4-1
1 D. Marshall G
32 J. Campbell D
25 W. Fish D
33 R. Bushiri D
16 L. Stevenson D
5 R. Porteous M
46 A. McGeady M
7 K. Magennis M
11 J. Newell M
23 É. Youan M
15 K. Nisbet F
Bench (9)
22 H. McKirdy
8 J. Doyle-Hayes
20 E. Melkersen
2 L. Miller
18 E. Henderson
3 M. Čabraja
42 K. Megwa
10 Jair Tavares
13 R. Schofield

Coach: L. Johnson

Dundee United

3-4-2-1
1 M. Birighitti G
2 L. Smith D
12 R. Edwards D
3 S. McMann D
22 K. Freeman M
14 C. Sibbald M
10 A. Djoum M
16 A. Behich M
23 I. Harkes F
15 G. Middleton F
9 S. Fletcher F
Bench (9)
18 J. McGrath
8 P. Pawlett
7 I. Niskanen
13 C. Eriksson
28 M. Anim Cudjoe
6 R. Graham
44 R. MacLeod
4 C. Mulgrew
17 A. Meekison

Coach: L. Fox

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,70
🔒
U ✓
3,75
🔒
B
4,88
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,93
🔒
U2,5
1,86
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

C Steven · 58 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.