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Premiership
Referee: W Collum
St Mirren
T U S S T
0–2
Full-time
Kilmarnock
T U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Mirren Kilmarnock
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,7
3,0
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
2,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,0
This season — Premiership · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 30%
38%
22%
Points per game
1,4
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 49%
47%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

55% Possession 45%
6 Shots 16
1 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 1
1 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Mirren 5. · Kilmarnock 11. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 32 30 1 1 +78 91
2 Rangers 32 25 4 3 +49 79
3 Aberdeen 32 16 2 14 -2 50
4 Hearts 33 14 6 13 +7 48
5 St Mirren 32 12 8 12 -9 44
6 Hibernian 32 13 4 15 -3 43
7 Livingston 32 12 6 14 -17 42
8 Motherwell 32 10 6 16 -4 36
9 ST Johnstone 32 9 5 18 -20 32
10 Dundee United 32 7 7 18 -24 28
11 Kilmarnock 32 7 7 18 -31 28
12 Ross County 33 7 6 20 -24 27

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

2. Jan -23 Kilmarnock – St Mirren 0–0 15. Oct -22 St Mirren – Kilmarnock 0–0 12. May -21 Kilmarnock – St Mirren 3–3 6. Feb -21 St Mirren – Kilmarnock 2–0 2. Jan -21 Kilmarnock – St Mirren 1–1

Match report

St Mirren Kilmarnock
18′
⚽ L. Donnelly 0–1
K. Vassell
35′
⚽ C. Doidge 0–2
D. Armstrong
Half-time 0–2
T. Small 🔁
↦ S. Tanser
46′
G. Kiltie 🔁
↦ K. Baccus
46′
A. Greive 🔁
↦ C. Dunne
63′
Thierry Small 🟨
67′
Thierry Small 🟨
68′
Thierry Small 🟥
68′
70′
🔁 B. Lyons
↦ C. Doidge
72′
🔁 S. Robinson
↦ K. Vassell
75′
🔁 Jordan Jones
↦ R. McKenzie
K. Offord 🔁
↦ T. Watt
81′
D. Gallagher 🔁
↦ A. Gogić
81′
Greg Kiltie 🟨
90′
91′
🟨 Jordan Jones
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

St Mirren

5-3-2
1 T. Carson G
23 R. Strain D
22 M. Fraser D
4 J. Shaughnessy D
18 C. Dunne D
3 S. Tanser D
17 K. Baccus M
13 A. Gogić M
6 M. O'Hara M
9 T. Watt F
10 C. Main F
Bench (9)
16 T. Small
11 G. Kiltie
21 A. Greive
25 K. Offord
31 D. Gallagher
5 R. Taylor
27 P. Urminský
15 C. Boyd-Munce
8 R. Flynn

Coach: S. Robinson

Kilmarnock

3-5-2
20 S. Walker G
2 L. Mayo D
5 A. Taylor D
24 L. Chambers D
11 D. Armstrong M
4 A. Power M
22 L. Donnelly M
34 D. Watson M
7 R. McKenzie M
23 K. Vassell F
26 C. Doidge F
Bench (9)
17 B. Lyons
16 S. Robinson
10 Jordan Jones
21 K. McInroy
25 R. Alebiosu
1 Z. Hemming
8 B. Alston
3 J. Dorsett
14 J. Sanders

Coach: D. McInnes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,03
🔒
U
3,39
🔒
B ✓
3,71
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
2,12
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,70
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

W Collum · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.