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Premiership
Referee: C Napier
St Mirren
S T T T S
0–0
Full-time
Motherwell
T U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Mirren Motherwell
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
0%
83%
Average goals
1,8
3,3
Scored
0,5
1,3
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,7
This season — Premiership · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 30%
41%
18%
Points per game
1,5
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
47%
53%
Both score Ø 53%
41%
65%
Average goals
2,5
2,9
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%
11 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Mirren 3. · Motherwell 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 17 13 3 1 +31 42
2 Rangers 16 12 1 3 +25 37
3 St Mirren 17 7 4 6 -1 25
4 Hibernian 17 6 6 5 -1 24
5 Kilmarnock 17 6 5 6 +1 23
6 Hearts 16 7 2 7 +0 23
7 Dundee 16 5 6 5 -3 21
8 Ross County 17 4 5 8 -9 17
9 Aberdeen 15 4 4 7 -8 16
10 Motherwell 17 3 6 8 -9 15
11 ST Johnstone 16 3 6 7 -12 15
12 Livingston 15 2 4 9 -14 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Mirren Motherwell
40′
🟨 Blair Spittal
Half-time 0–0
C. McMenamin 🔁
↦ T. Small
68′
M. Mandron 🔁
↦ S. Nahmani
69′
Keanu Baccus 🟨
73′
T. Olusanya 🔁
↦ J. Ayunga
78′
A. Greive 🔁
↦ G. Kiltie
82′
87′
🔁 O. Shaw
↦ C. Slattery
87′
🔁 T. Bair
↦ M. Biereth
94′
🔁 P. McGinn
↦ G. Gent
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

St Mirren

3-5-2
1 Z. Hemming G
22 M. Fraser D
13 A. Gogić D
5 R. Taylor D
16 T. Small M
17 K. Baccus M
6 M. O'Hara M
11 G. Kiltie M
3 S. Tanser M
19 S. Nahmani F
7 J. Ayunga F
Bench (9)
10 C. McMenamin
9 M. Mandron
20 T. Olusanya
21 A. Greive
18 C. Dunne
27 P. Urminský
24 L. Jamieson
34 E. Sutherland
2 J. Bolton

Coach: S. Robinson

Motherwell

3-5-1-1
1 L. Kelly G
2 S. O'Donnell D
5 B. Mugabi D
20 S. Blaney D
22 B. Spencer M
8 C. Slattery M
17 D. Zdravkovski M
12 H. Paton M
3 G. Gent M
7 B. Spittal F
24 M. Biereth F
Bench (9)
18 O. Shaw
14 T. Bair
16 P. McGinn
42 M. Ross
99 C. Wilkinson
39 L. Ross
13 A. Oxborough
37 D. Wells
9 J. Obika

Coach: S. Kettlewell

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,00
U ✓
3,30
B
3,87
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,28
U2,5 ✓
1,61
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

C Napier · 40 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.