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Premiership
Referee: G Irvine
Aberdeen
T T S S S
0–3
Full-time
St Mirren
T S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aberdeen St Mirren
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,5
1,3
Scored
1,3
0,3
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premiership · 16/20 matches
Win Ø 33%
31%
35%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
50%
40%
Both score Ø 40%
44%
35%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,1
Conceded
1,6
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

67% Possession 33%
18 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 5
10 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
13 Corners 2
2 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aberdeen 8. · St Mirren 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 21 16 3 2 +35 51
2 Rangers 19 14 1 4 +28 43
3 Hearts 19 10 2 7 +5 32
4 Kilmarnock 20 8 6 6 +3 30
5 St Mirren 20 7 5 8 -4 26
6 Hibernian 19 6 6 7 -3 24
7 Dundee 17 5 6 6 -6 21
8 Aberdeen 16 5 4 7 -7 19
9 ST Johnstone 20 4 7 9 -14 19
10 Ross County 17 4 5 8 -9 17
11 Motherwell 19 3 7 9 -11 16
12 Livingston 19 2 6 11 -17 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,95
U
3,40
B ✓
3,97
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,13
U2,5
1,69
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Irvine · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.