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Premiership

Referee: C Napier

Aberdeen

T S S U U

1–0

Full-time

Motherwell

S T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aberdeen Motherwell

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

1,3

2,8

Scored

0,7

1,7

Conceded

0,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,5

This season — Premiership · 33/33 matches

Win Ø 24%

24%

Points per game

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 49%

45%

52%

Both score Ø 56%

45%

67%

Average goals

2,5

2,9

Scored

1,1

1,4

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

60% Possession 40%

23 Shots 8

5 Shots on target 3

6 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

10 Corners 7

1 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Aberdeen 9. · Motherwell 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	33	24	6	3	+54	78
2	Rangers	33	24	3	6	+49	75
3	Hearts	33	19	5	9	+12	62
4	Kilmarnock	33	13	12	8	+9	51
5	St Mirren	33	12	7	14	-5	43
6	Dundee	33	10	11	12	-10	41
7	Hibernian	33	9	12	12	-7	39
8	Motherwell	33	8	13	12	-5	37
9	Aberdeen	33	8	11	14	-14	35
10	ST Johnstone	33	7	10	16	-22	31
11	Ross County	34	7	9	18	-26	30
12	Livingston	34	4	9	21	-35	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	17	13	1	3	+27	40
2	Celtic	16	12	3	1	+30	39
3	Kilmarnock	17	10	4	3	+12	34
4	Hearts	17	9	5	3	+10	32
5	St Mirren	16	8	3	5	+5	27
6	Dundee	16	6	5	5	-1	23
7	Hibernian	17	6	4	7	+0	22
8	Ross County	16	6	4	6	-2	22
9	Aberdeen	16	4	7	5	-3	19
10	Motherwell	17	4	6	7	-1	18
11	ST Johnstone	17	4	6	7	-9	18
12	Livingston	17	3	6	8	-12	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	17	12	3	2	+24	39
2	Rangers	16	11	2	3	+22	35
3	Hearts	16	10	0	6	+2	30
4	Motherwell	16	4	7	5	-4	19
5	Dundee	17	4	6	7	-9	18
6	Kilmarnock	16	3	8	5	-3	17
7	Hibernian	16	3	8	5	-7	17
8	St Mirren	17	4	4	9	-10	16
9	Aberdeen	17	4	4	9	-11	16
10	ST Johnstone	16	3	4	9	-13	13
11	Ross County	18	1	5	12	-24	8
12	Livingston	17	1	3	13	-23	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.