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2. Bundesliga
Referee: H Osmers
Schalke 04
T U U S U
1–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Schalke 04 Fortuna Dusseldorf
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
1,2
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,2
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 43%
33%
53%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
60%
57%
Both score Ø 57%
57%
57%
Average goals
3,4
3,3
Scored
1,5
2,1
Conceded
1,9
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%
15 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 6
5 Blocked shots 0
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 4
14 Free kicks against 7
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Schalke 04 13. · Fortuna Dusseldorf 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Pauli 31 18 9 4 +24 63
2 Holstein Kiel 31 19 4 8 +24 61
3 Fortuna Dusseldorf 30 16 7 7 +29 55
4 Hamburg 31 15 7 9 +17 52
5 Karlsruhe 30 12 10 8 +16 46
6 Hannover 31 11 13 7 +14 46
7 Paderborn 31 13 7 11 -1 46
8 Hertha 31 12 9 10 +11 45
9 Greuther Furth 30 12 6 12 -3 42
10 Elversberg 31 11 7 13 -10 40
11 Nurnberg 30 10 7 13 -18 37
12 Magdeburg 30 9 9 12 -4 36
13 Schalke 04 30 10 6 14 -10 36
14 Braunschweig 31 10 4 17 -12 34
15 Kaiserslautern 31 9 6 16 -11 33
16 Wehen 30 8 8 14 -9 32
17 Hansa Rostock 31 9 4 18 -24 31
18 Osnabruck 30 5 9 16 -33 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Schalke 04 Fortuna Dusseldorf
Ibrahima Cissé 🟨
-5′
41′
🟨 Felix Klaus
Half-time 1–0
1–0 K. Karaman
55′
63′
🔁 A. Tanaka
↦ Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson
Kenan Karaman 🟨
65′
67′
A. Tanaka 1–1
S. van der Sloot 🔁
↦ B. Soppy
68′
A. Ouédraogo 🔁
↦ S. Terodde
75′
80′
🔁 J. Quarshie
↦ J. de Wijs
80′
🔁 M. Sobottka
↦ F. Klaus
80′
🔁 M. Mustapha
↦ V. Vermeij
Keke Topp 🟨
81′
B. Lasme 🔁
↦ K. Topp
84′
L. Tempelmann 🔁
↦ Y. Kabadayı
84′
93′
🟨 Joshua Quarshie
94′
🔁 N. Gavory
↦ E. Iyoha
Assan Ouédraogo ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
96′
Thomas Ouwejan 🟨
98′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Schalke 04

4-3-1-2
32 M. Müller G
21 B. Soppy D
26 T. Kalas D
35 M. Kamiński D
2 T. Ouwejan D
7 P. Seguin M
6 R. Schallenberg M
17 Y. Kabadayı M
19 K. Karaman M
42 K. Topp F
9 S. Terodde F
Bench (9)
51 S. van der Sloot
43 A. Ouédraogo
11 B. Lasme
10 L. Tempelmann
22 I. Cissé
29 T. Mohr
41 H. Matriciani
34 M. Langer
18 B. Idrizi

Coach: K. Geraerts

Fortuna Dusseldorf

4-5-1
33 F. Kastenmeier G
25 M. Zimmermann D
15 T. Oberdorf D
30 J. de Wijs D
19 E. Iyoha D
11 F. Klaus M
23 S. Appelkamp M
6 Y. Engelhardt M
8 Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson M
7 C. Tzolis M
9 V. Vermeij F
Bench (9)
4 A. Tanaka
5 J. Quarshie
31 M. Sobottka
36 M. Mustapha
34 N. Gavory
1 K. Niemczycki
18 J. Niemiec
22 C. Daferner
3 A. Hoffmann

Coach: D. Thioune

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,80
U ✓
3,63
B
2,32
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,53
U2,5 ✓
2,43
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

H Osmers · 139 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.