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Premiership

Referee: D Dickinson

St Mirren

S S T T T

2–2

Full-time

Hearts

T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Mirren Hearts

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,2

3,0

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

1,7

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,7

This season — Premiership · 34/34 matches

Win Ø 38%

35%

41%

Points per game

1,3

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

50%

62%

Both score Ø 49%

47%

50%

Average goals

2,6

3,1

Scored

1,1

1,6

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

37% Possession 63%

13 Shots 11

7 Shots on target 6

4 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

7 Corners 4

4 Offside 1

19 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match St Mirren 6. · Hearts 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	35	31	2	2	+77	95
2	Rangers	35	27	4	4	+51	85
3	Aberdeen	34	17	2	15	-1	53
4	Hearts	34	14	6	14	+5	48
5	Hibernian	34	14	5	15	-2	47
6	St Mirren	34	12	8	14	-12	44
7	Livingston	34	12	6	16	-21	42
8	Motherwell	34	11	7	16	-2	40
9	ST Johnstone	34	10	6	18	-19	36
10	Dundee United	34	8	7	19	-23	31
11	Kilmarnock	34	8	7	19	-31	31
12	Ross County	34	8	6	20	-22	30

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	18	16	2	0	+37	50
2	Celtic	17	16	1	0	+39	49
3	Aberdeen	17	12	1	4	+24	37
4	Hearts	17	11	1	5	+15	34
5	St Mirren	17	9	4	4	+5	31
6	Hibernian	17	9	3	5	+9	30
7	Livingston	17	8	4	5	-1	28
8	Kilmarnock	16	7	5	4	-3	26
9	Dundee United	17	6	2	9	-7	20
10	Motherwell	17	5	3	9	-4	18
11	Ross County	18	5	3	10	-8	18
12	ST Johnstone	17	4	4	9	-7	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	18	15	1	2	+38	46
2	Rangers	17	11	2	4	+14	35
3	Motherwell	17	6	4	7	+2	22
4	ST Johnstone	17	6	2	9	-12	20
5	Hibernian	17	5	2	10	-11	17
6	Aberdeen	17	5	1	11	-25	16
7	Hearts	17	3	5	9	-10	14
8	Livingston	17	4	2	11	-20	14
9	St Mirren	17	3	4	10	-17	13
10	Ross County	16	3	3	10	-14	12
11	Dundee United	17	2	5	10	-16	11
12	Kilmarnock	18	1	2	15	-28	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.