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Premiership
Referee: N Walsh
Hearts
U S S U T
3–0
Full-time
Dundee
T U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hearts Dundee
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,5
This season — Premiership · 35/35 matches
Win Ø 42%
54%
29%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
40%
63%
Both score Ø 49%
40%
57%
Average goals
2,4
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,1
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

54% Possession 46%
16 Shots 15
8 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
2 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 8
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hearts 3. · Dundee 8. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 36 27 6 3 +59 87
2 Rangers 36 26 3 7 +52 81
3 Hearts 35 19 6 10 +9 63
4 Kilmarnock 35 13 13 9 +6 52
5 St Mirren 35 13 7 15 -4 46
6 Hibernian 35 10 12 13 -6 42
7 Aberdeen 35 10 11 14 -12 41
8 Dundee 35 10 11 14 -13 41
9 Motherwell 35 9 13 13 -3 40
10 Ross County 35 8 9 18 -25 33
11 ST Johnstone 36 7 10 19 -26 31
12 Livingston 36 5 9 22 -37 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

3. Feb -24 Dundee – Hearts 2–3 23. Jan -24 Hearts – Dundee 3–2 27. Aug -23 Dundee – Hearts 1–0 9. Feb -22 Hearts – Dundee 1–2 18. Dec -21 Dundee – Hearts 0–1

Match report

Hearts Dundee
1–0 K. Vargas ⚽
B. McKay
35′
41′
ℹ️ Lyall Cameron
VAR: Penalty cancelled
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 R. Howley
↦ J. McGhee
48′
🟨 Amadou Bakayoko
2–0 A. Forrest ⚽
B. McKay
53′
57′
🟨 Luke McCowan
T. Sibbick 🔁
↦ D. Lembikisa
62′
J. Wilson 🔁
↦ K. Vargas
62′
68′
🔁 D. Costelloe
↦ O. Dodgson
A. Denholm 🔁
↦ C. Devlin
71′
Y. Oda 🔁
↦ A. Forrest
72′
76′
🟨 Aaron Donnelly
78′
🔁 J. Mulligan
↦ M. Boateng
S. Fraser 🔁
↦ B. McKay
79′
83′
🔁 C. Main
↦ L. Cameron
3–0 L. Shankland ⚽
S. Fraser
90′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Hearts

4-2-3-1
1 C. Gordon G
81 D. Lembikisa D
3 S. Kingsley D
15 K. Rowles D
19 A. Cochrane D
6 B. Baningime M
14 C. Devlin M
17 A. Forrest M
77 K. Vargas M
18 B. McKay M
9 L. Shankland F
Bench (9)
21 T. Sibbick
54 J. Wilson
22 A. Denholm
11 Y. Oda
29 S. Fraser
30 K. Tagawa
7 J. Grant
2 F. Kent
28 Z. Clark

Coach: S. Naismith

Dundee

3-5-2
22 J. McCracken G
4 R. Astley D
29 A. Portales D
25 A. Donnelly D
6 J. McGhee M
10 L. Cameron M
23 M. Boateng M
17 L. McCowan M
3 O. Dodgson M
26 M. Mellon F
9 A. Bakayoko F
Bench (9)
21 R. Howley
44 D. Costelloe
15 J. Mulligan
8 C. Main
16 Z. Robinson
30 H. Sharp
28 M. Sylla
19 F. Robertson
7 S. Tiffoney

Coach: T. Docherty

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,67
🔒
U
4,02
🔒
B
4,69
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,69
🔒
U2,5
2,13
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

N Walsh · 171 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.